Football · USA USL Championship · 18/10, 02:30

Prediction: San Antonio FC vs New Mexico United

Team pages: San Antonio FC · New Mexico United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.33Total

San Antonio FC1.08

New Mexico United1.25

1X2

31% 31% 39%

San Antonio FC Draw New Mexico United

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

San Antonio FC 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

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New Mexico United 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

San Antonio FC 2–1–3 New Mexico United (6 last)

New Mexico United1-2San Antonio FC
San Antonio FC1-0New Mexico United
New Mexico United2-0San Antonio FC
San Antonio FC0-1New Mexico United
San Antonio FC2-2New Mexico United
New Mexico United4-2San Antonio FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours New Mexico United (rating 1447 vs 1527).
H2H favours New Mexico United: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	San Antonio FC	New Mexico United
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 0.9	1.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.9	2.2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	5.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.97

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:20

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.00
X	3.59 → 3.59	Pinn 3.59
2	3.46 → 3.46	Pinn 3.46

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
16:13 +487’	2.00	3.59	3.46

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · San Antonio FC 2–1–3 New Mexico United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/08/26 USA USL Championship	New Mexico United	1-2 HT 0-1	San Antonio FC
22/03/26 USA USL Championship	San Antonio FC	1-0 HT 0-0	New Mexico United
02/11/25 USA USL Championship	New Mexico United	2-0 HT 1-0	San Antonio FC
07/09/25 USA USL Championship	San Antonio FC	0-1 HT 0-0	New Mexico United
27/07/25 USA USL Cup	San Antonio FC	2-2 HT 1-0	New Mexico United
22/06/25 USA USL Championship	New Mexico United	4-2 HT 1-0	San Antonio FC

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	El Paso Locomotive FC	28	15	5	8	48	36	50
2	New Mexico United	28	14	7	7	44	33	49
3	Sacramento Republic	28	11	12	5	38	26	45
4	Lexington SC	28	13	5	10	49	33	44
5	Tulsa	28	11	10	7	32	25	43
6	Colorado Switchbacks FC	28	11	8	9	41	38	41
7	Orange County SC	28	10	9	9	37	44	39
8	San Antonio FC	28	9	12	7	29	29	39
9	Phoenix Rising FC	28	9	9	10	39	42	36
10	Las Vegas Lights FC	28	10	6	12	37	41	36
11	Oakland Roots	28	8	11	9	33	35	35
12	Monterey Bay FC	28	5	6	17	30	50	21

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	San Antonio FC	New Mexico United
Las Vegas Lights FC	0-1 L	2-1 W
Sacramento Republic	0-0 D	2-3 L
Colorado Switchbacks FC	1-2 L	0-0 D
Tulsa	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Antonio FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Oakland Roots USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
04/10	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
27/09	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
21/09	Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
12/09	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-2	4	4	L
06/09	Tulsa USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	9	6	D
30/08	New Mexico United USA USL Championship	1-0	2-1	3	12	W
23/08	Oakland Roots USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
16/08	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	0-3	0-3	2	6	L
09/08	Louisville City FC USA USL Championship	0-1	1-1	4	3	D

New Mexico United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	2-0	3-1	7	4	W
05/10	Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship	1-0	2-1	4	7	W
01/10	Tulsa USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
27/09	Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship	0-1	2-3	4	6	L
20/09	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
17/09	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	2-1	4-4	0	5	D
12/09	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	2-0	2-2	1	4	D
06/09	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	1-1	2-1	8	3	W
30/08	San Antonio FC USA USL Championship	0-1	1-2	2	12	L
27/08	Lexington SC USA USL Championship	0-0	2-1	6	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Antonio FC vs New Mexico United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an New Mexico United win (39%). Probabilities: San Antonio FC 31%, draw 31%, New Mexico United 39%.

How many goals are expected in San Antonio FC vs New Mexico United?

The model expects 2.33 goals (San Antonio FC 1.08 · New Mexico United 1.25), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in San Antonio FC vs New Mexico United?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.