Football · USA USL Championship · 18/10, 04:00

Prediction: Monterey Bay FC vs Colorado Switchbacks FC

Team pages: Monterey Bay FC · Colorado Switchbacks FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

Monterey Bay FC1.38

Colorado Switchbacks FC1.62

1X2

32% 26% 42%

Monterey Bay FC Draw Colorado Switchbacks FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Monterey Bay FC 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Colorado Switchbacks FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWDDDD

Head-to-head

Monterey Bay FC 2–4 Colorado Switchbacks FC (6 last)

Colorado Switchbacks FC4-1Monterey Bay FC
Colorado Switchbacks FC2-1Monterey Bay FC
Monterey Bay FC2-1Colorado Switchbacks FC
Monterey Bay FC0-1Colorado Switchbacks FC
Colorado Switchbacks FC1-0Monterey Bay FC
Monterey Bay FC2-1Colorado Switchbacks FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colorado Switchbacks FC (rating 1435 vs 1526).
H2H favours Colorado Switchbacks FC: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Monterey Bay FC	Colorado Switchbacks FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.9	2.5 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.91

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:21

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.94 → 3.94	Pinn 3.94
X	3.82 → 3.82	Pinn 3.82
2	1.81 → 1.81	Pinn 1.81

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:13 +488’	3.94	3.82	1.81

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Monterey Bay FC 2–0–4 Colorado Switchbacks FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 USA USL Championship	Colorado Switchbacks FC	4-1 HT 2-0	Monterey Bay FC
07/09/25 USA USL Championship	Colorado Switchbacks FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Monterey Bay FC
13/04/25 USA USL Championship	Monterey Bay FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Colorado Switchbacks FC
20/10/24 USA USL Championship	Monterey Bay FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Colorado Switchbacks FC
30/06/24 USA USL Championship	Colorado Switchbacks FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Monterey Bay FC
27/08/23 USA USL Championship	Monterey Bay FC	2-1 HT 0-0	Colorado Switchbacks FC

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	El Paso Locomotive FC	28	15	5	8	48	36	50
2	New Mexico United	28	14	7	7	44	33	49
3	Sacramento Republic	28	11	12	5	38	26	45
4	Lexington SC	28	13	5	10	49	33	44
5	Tulsa	28	11	10	7	32	25	43
6	Colorado Switchbacks FC	28	11	8	9	41	38	41
7	Orange County SC	28	10	9	9	37	44	39
8	San Antonio FC	28	9	12	7	29	29	39
9	Phoenix Rising FC	28	9	9	10	39	42	36
10	Las Vegas Lights FC	28	10	6	12	37	41	36
11	Oakland Roots	28	8	11	9	33	35	35
12	Monterey Bay FC	28	5	6	17	30	50	21

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Monterey Bay FC	Colorado Switchbacks FC
New Mexico United	1-3 L	0-0 D
Lexington SC	2-3 L	1-0 W
Phoenix Rising FC	1-1 D	1-3 L
Sacramento Republic	1-1 D	1-1 D
Oakland Roots	1-1 D	0-0 D
El Paso Locomotive FC	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Colorado Switchbacks FC (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Monterey Bay FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	New Mexico United USA USL Championship	0-2	1-3	3	4	L
04/10	Orange County SC USA USL Championship	0-1	2-1	3	4	W
27/09	Lexington SC USA USL Championship	1-1	2-3	4	5	L
20/09	Charleston Battery USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
06/09	Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
30/08	Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship	1-0	1-1	2	1	D
23/08	Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship	1-1	1-3	3	8	L
16/08	Oakland Roots USA USL Championship	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
09/08	New Mexico United USA USL Championship	1-1	2-5	12	3	L
06/08	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	3	5	L

Colorado Switchbacks FC

WLLWWWDDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
04/10	Oakland Roots USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	8	0	D
27/09	Detroit City FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
20/09	New Mexico United USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	10	3	D
12/09	San Antonio FC USA USL Championship	0-0	2-1	1	4	W
05/09	Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship	1-1	5-4	4	4	W
30/08	Lexington SC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
23/08	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
20/08	Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship	1-1	1-3	2	4	L
16/08	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	1-1	3-2	12	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Monterey Bay FC vs Colorado Switchbacks FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Colorado Switchbacks FC win (42%). Probabilities: Monterey Bay FC 32%, draw 26%, Colorado Switchbacks FC 42%.

How many goals are expected in Monterey Bay FC vs Colorado Switchbacks FC?

The model expects 3 goals (Monterey Bay FC 1.38 · Colorado Switchbacks FC 1.62), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Monterey Bay FC vs Colorado Switchbacks FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.