Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 17/08, 20:00
Prediction: Leones de Rosario vs Defensores de Cambaceres
Team pages: Leones de Rosario · Defensores de Cambaceres
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.83Total
Leones de Rosario1.1
Defensores de Cambaceres0.73
1X2
Leones de Rosario
Draw
Defensores de Cambaceres
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Leones de Rosario
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Defensores de Cambaceres
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Leones de Rosario
1–0
Defensores de Cambaceres
(1 last)
- Defensores de Cambaceres0-2Leones de Rosario
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leones de Rosario 1506 · Defensores de Cambaceres 1425
| Leones de Rosario | Draw | Defensores de Cambaceres | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 34% | 23% |
| Market | 44% | 32% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.83 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leones de Rosario (rating 1506 vs 1425).
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leones de Rosario | Defensores de Cambaceres | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.2 | 3.4 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 5.7 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leones de Rosario 1–0–0 Defensores de Cambaceres
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Defensores de Cambaceres | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Leones de Rosario |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 18 | 42 |
| 2 | Canuelas FC | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 39 |
| 3 | Yupanqui | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 26 | 33 |
| 4 | Deportivo Espanol | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 33 |
| 5 | General Lamadrid | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 23 | 33 |
| 6 | Sportivo Barracas | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 23 | 31 |
| 7 | Leones de Rosario | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 31 |
| 8 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 29 |
| 9 | CA Atlas | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 29 |
| 10 | Central Ballester | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 27 | 26 |
| 11 | El Porvenir | 23 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 26 |
| 12 | Fenix | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 23 | 25 |
| 13 | Deportivo Muniz | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 22 |
| 14 | CA Claypole | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 30 | 22 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leones de Rosario
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 31/07 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 30/07 | Newell's Argentina Copa Santa Fe |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 12 | D |
| 25/07 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 13/07 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/06 | Atletico San Jorge Argentina Copa Santa Fe |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 15/06 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
Defensores de Cambaceres
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 31/07 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 9 | L |
| 26/07 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 17/07 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 11/07 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 04/07 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 28/06 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 12 | 6 | L |
| 15/06 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 07/06 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 31/05 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leones de Rosario vs Defensores de Cambaceres?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Leones de Rosario win (43%). Probabilities: Leones de Rosario 43%, draw 33%, Defensores de Cambaceres 24%.
How many goals are expected in Leones de Rosario vs Defensores de Cambaceres?
The model expects 1.83 goals (Leones de Rosario 1.1 · Defensores de Cambaceres 0.73), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Leones de Rosario vs Defensores de Cambaceres?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.