Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 24/08, 20:00

Prediction: Deportivo Espanol vs Lujan

Team pages: Deportivo Espanol · Lujan

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.69Total

Deportivo Espanol0.84

Lujan0.84

1X2

33% 35% 33%

Deportivo Espanol Draw Lujan

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 52% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

0-0 20%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Espanol 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDLWWDDD

Lujan 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWDWWWLW

Head-to-head

Deportivo Espanol 3–3–0 Lujan (6 last)

Lujan1-1Deportivo Espanol
Lujan1-2Deportivo Espanol
Deportivo Espanol2-0Lujan
Lujan1-1Deportivo Espanol
Deportivo Espanol1-0Lujan
Deportivo Espanol1-1Lujan

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Espanol 1545 · Lujan 1562

	Deportivo Espanol	Draw	Lujan
Our model	32%	37%	32%
Market	33%	33%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 1.69 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Deportivo Espanol: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Espanol	Lujan
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 0.3	1.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.2	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.2	2.6 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.4	4.9 / 0.8

Odds Bet365

12.70

X2.70

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.95

Under 1.751.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 1.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
22:14 +5’	2.70	2.70	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Espanol 3–3–0 Lujan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Lujan	1-1 HT 1-0	Deportivo Espanol
10/11/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Lujan	1-2 HT 0-2	Deportivo Espanol
10/06/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Deportivo Espanol	2-0 HT 1-0	Lujan
27/08/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Lujan	1-1 HT 0-1	Deportivo Espanol
16/04/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Deportivo Espanol	1-0 HT 1-0	Lujan
29/07/22 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Deportivo Espanol	1-1 HT 1-0	Lujan

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	24	13	6	5	33	19	45
2	Canuelas FC	25	11	9	5	27	18	42
3	General Lamadrid	25	9	9	7	22	23	36
4	CA Atlas	25	9	8	8	22	21	35
5	Sportivo Barracas	23	10	4	9	28	23	34
6	Deportivo Espanol	24	7	13	4	18	14	34
7	Leones de Rosario	24	8	10	6	22	21	34
8	Yupanqui	25	8	9	8	31	28	33
9	Central Cordoba de Rosario	24	7	9	8	21	20	30
10	El Porvenir	24	5	14	5	18	21	29
11	Central Ballester	23	7	5	11	23	27	26
12	Fenix	24	6	8	10	19	25	26
13	CA Claypole	24	6	7	11	17	30	25
14	Deportivo Muniz	24	4	10	10	16	24	22

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Espanol	Lujan
General Lamadrid	0-0 D	1-0 W
Yupanqui	2-1 W	2-0 W
Central Cordoba de Rosario	1-0 W	1-2 L
CA Claypole	1-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Lujan (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Espanol

WWWDLWWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
07/08	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
31/07	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
25/07	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
17/07	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
11/07	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	5	9	L
06/07	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	11	3	D
27/06	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	2-1	9	8	W
13/06	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	4	8	W
06/06	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	7	W

Lujan

WWLWDWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-1	2	5	W
09/08	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	1-2	6	7	L
04/08	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
31/07	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-1	3-1	4	6	W
26/07	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	3-1	4	4	W
11/07	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
05/07	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-1	2	6	W
29/06	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	6	4	L
14/06	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	8	8	W
07/06	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	6	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Espanol vs Lujan?

According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (35%). Probabilities: Deportivo Espanol 33%, draw 35%, Lujan 33%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Espanol vs Lujan?

The model expects 1.69 goals (Deportivo Espanol 0.84 · Lujan 0.84), with a 54% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Espanol vs Lujan?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.