Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 24/08, 20:00

Prediction: CA Claypole vs Fenix

Team pages: CA Claypole · Fenix

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.16Total

CA Claypole1.16

Fenix1

1X2

38% 32% 30%

CA Claypole Draw Fenix

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

CA Claypole 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLDDLLLW

Fenix 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DLWLWWDDWD

Head-to-head

CA Claypole 1–0 Fenix (1 last)

Fenix0-2CA Claypole

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Claypole 1459 · Fenix 1514

	CA Claypole	Draw	Fenix
Our model	38%	32%	30%
Market	38%	32%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fenix (rating 1459 vs 1514).
Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA Claypole	Fenix
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.4	1.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.3 / 0.6	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.35

X2.80

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 22.02

Under 21.77

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
22:16 +3’	2.35	2.80	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Claypole 1–0–0 Fenix

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Fenix	0-2 HT 0-0	CA Claypole

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	24	13	6	5	33	19	45
2	Canuelas FC	25	11	9	5	27	18	42
3	General Lamadrid	25	9	9	7	22	23	36
4	CA Atlas	25	9	8	8	22	21	35
5	Sportivo Barracas	23	10	4	9	28	23	34
6	Deportivo Espanol	24	7	13	4	18	14	34
7	Leones de Rosario	24	8	10	6	22	21	34
8	Yupanqui	25	8	9	8	31	28	33
9	Central Cordoba de Rosario	24	7	9	8	21	20	30
10	El Porvenir	24	5	14	5	18	21	29
11	Central Ballester	23	7	5	11	23	27	26
12	Fenix	24	6	8	10	19	25	26
13	CA Claypole	24	6	7	11	17	30	25
14	Deportivo Muniz	24	4	10	10	16	24	22

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA Claypole	Fenix
Sportivo Barracas	0-2 L	2-1 W
Lujan	1-3 L	1-2 L
General Lamadrid	0-0 D	3-1 W
Leones de Rosario	1-1 D	0-1 L
CA Atlas	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Fenix (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Claypole

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/08	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	4	8	W
10/08	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	3	10	L
04/08	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	7	10	L
31/07	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-2	1-3	2	6	L
26/07	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
13/07	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
05/07	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	1-2	7	6	L
30/06	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	0	7	L
14/06	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	2-1	8	7	W
06/06	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	7	L

Fenix

DLWLWWDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
10/08	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	3-1	3	2	W
04/08	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
27/07	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
17/07	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	0	3	W
13/07	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	2-1	7	6	W
05/07	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	1-2	3	6	L
29/06	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	3-1	2	9	W
15/06	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	8	4	L
06/06	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	5	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Claypole vs Fenix?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Claypole win (38%). Probabilities: CA Claypole 38%, draw 32%, Fenix 30%.

How many goals are expected in CA Claypole vs Fenix?

The model expects 2.16 goals (CA Claypole 1.16 · Fenix 1), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Claypole vs Fenix?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.