Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 25/08, 20:00

Prediction: Leones de Rosario vs Deportivo Muniz

Team pages: Leones de Rosario · Deportivo Muniz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.12Total

Leones de Rosario1.42

Deportivo Muniz0.7

1X2

53% 29% 18%

Leones de Rosario Draw Deportivo Muniz

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Leones de Rosario 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDDWLWWDDL

Deportivo Muniz 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLWLWLDLDL

Head-to-head

Leones de Rosario 1–0 Deportivo Muniz (1 last)

Deportivo Muniz1-2Leones de Rosario

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leones de Rosario 1523 · Deportivo Muniz 1451

	Leones de Rosario	Draw	Deportivo Muniz
Our model	53%	30%	17%
Market	53%	29%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.12 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leones de Rosario (rating 1523 vs 1451).
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Leones de Rosario	Deportivo Muniz
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1	0.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	33/44/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.1	1.8 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.5	5.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.10

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 22.00

Under 21.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:51 +19’	1.67	3.10	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Leones de Rosario 1–0–0 Deportivo Muniz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Deportivo Muniz	1-2 HT 0-2	Leones de Rosario

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	16	8	5	3	20	11	29
2	Leones de Rosario	16	7	6	3	18	15	27
3	Canuelas FC	16	6	8	2	19	12	26
4	General Lamadrid	16	7	5	4	16	13	26
5	Yupanqui	16	6	6	4	19	15	24
6	Sportivo Barracas	16	6	4	6	15	13	22
7	El Porvenir	16	4	10	2	14	12	22
8	Deportivo Espanol	16	4	9	3	13	11	21
9	CA Claypole	16	5	5	6	13	18	20
10	Central Cordoba de Rosario	16	4	6	6	12	14	18
11	Central Ballester	16	4	4	8	14	19	16
12	CA Atlas	16	3	7	6	11	16	16
13	Deportivo Muniz	16	2	7	7	12	16	13
14	Fenix	16	2	5	9	6	17	11

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Leones de Rosario	Deportivo Muniz
El Porvenir	0-0 D	1-2 L
Fenix	1-0 W	1-0 W
Sportivo Barracas	2-0 W	0-0 D
General Lamadrid	2-1 W	0-2 L
CA Atlas	2-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Leones de Rosario (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leones de Rosario

LDDWLWWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
04/08	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
27/06	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
15/06	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
06/06	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	7	3	W
30/05	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
23/05	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	2-1	11	5	W
16/05	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-2	2-2	9	9	D
09/05	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	11	D
03/05	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-2	2-3	4	3	L

Deportivo Muniz

DLWLWLDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	2	1	L
30/07	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	7	6	D
18/07	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-3	5	4	L
06/07	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	–	1-1	–	–	D
14/06	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	1	7	L
07/06	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	4-0	6	5	W
30/05	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	5	8	L
25/05	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	5	11	W
17/05	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	8	5	L
11/05	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leones de Rosario vs Deportivo Muniz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Leones de Rosario win (53%). Probabilities: Leones de Rosario 53%, draw 29%, Deportivo Muniz 18%.

How many goals are expected in Leones de Rosario vs Deportivo Muniz?

The model expects 2.12 goals (Leones de Rosario 1.42 · Deportivo Muniz 0.7), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Leones de Rosario vs Deportivo Muniz?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.