Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 25/08, 20:00

Prediction: Club Leandro N. Alem vs Juventud Unida San Miguel

Team pages: Club Leandro N. Alem · Juventud Unida San Miguel

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.3Total

Club Leandro N. Alem1

Juventud Unida San Miguel1.29

1X2

28% 31% 42%

Club Leandro N. Alem Draw Juventud Unida San Miguel

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Club Leandro N. Alem 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWWWLWLDLL

Juventud Unida San Miguel 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDLWWDLWWL

Head-to-head

Club Leandro N. Alem 1–4–0 Juventud Unida San Miguel (5 last)

Juventud Unida San Miguel1-1Club Leandro N. Alem
Juventud Unida San Miguel2-2Club Leandro N. Alem
Club Leandro N. Alem1-1Juventud Unida San Miguel
Club Leandro N. Alem2-0Juventud Unida San Miguel
Club Leandro N. Alem0-0Juventud Unida San Miguel

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Leandro N. Alem 1492 · Juventud Unida San Miguel 1510

	Club Leandro N. Alem	Draw	Juventud Unida San Miguel
Our model	28%	31%	42%
Market	27%	31%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Leandro N. Alem	Juventud Unida San Miguel
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.3	1.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.1	1.8 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 1	5.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.25

X2.88

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 22.02

Under 21.77

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
18:00 +10’	3.25	2.88	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Leandro N. Alem 1–4–0 Juventud Unida San Miguel

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Juventud Unida San Miguel	1-1 HT 1-0	Club Leandro N. Alem
14/07/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Juventud Unida San Miguel	2-2 HT 0-1	Club Leandro N. Alem
10/02/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Club Leandro N. Alem	1-1 HT 1-0	Juventud Unida San Miguel
27/06/17 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Club Leandro N. Alem	2-0 HT 0-0	Juventud Unida San Miguel
07/03/17 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Club Leandro N. Alem	0-0 HT 0-0	Juventud Unida San Miguel

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Berazategui	16	7	7	2	21	11	28
2	Sacachispas	16	8	4	4	21	13	28
3	Centro Espanol	16	7	5	4	24	14	26
4	Victoriano Arenas	16	6	7	3	15	9	25
5	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	16	5	7	4	15	16	22
6	Club Leandro N. Alem	16	6	4	6	21	28	22
7	CA Lugano	16	5	6	5	20	17	21
8	Defensores de Cambaceres	16	5	5	6	14	15	20
9	Puerto Nuevo	16	4	8	4	13	17	20
10	Club Mercedes	16	4	7	5	10	10	19
11	Juventud Unida San Miguel	16	4	6	6	15	18	18
12	Argentino de Rosario	16	2	9	5	17	19	15
13	Deportivo Paraguayo	16	3	6	7	10	22	15
14	JJ Urquiza	16	2	8	6	6	13	14

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Leandro N. Alem	Juventud Unida San Miguel
Victoriano Arenas	0-0 D	1-1 D
Centro Espanol	0-3 L	3-2 W
JJ Urquiza	2-0 W	0-1 L
Club Mercedes	0-2 L	1-1 D
Deportivo Paraguayo	4-2 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Leandro N. Alem

DWWWLWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
08/08	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
13/06	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
06/06	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
31/05	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	6	9	W
23/05	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	1	6	L
17/05	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
10/05	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-2	4-2	5	5	W
03/05	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	4-1	4	9	W
25/04	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-2	4	9	D

Juventud Unida San Miguel

LDLWWDLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-2	1-2	7	3	L
04/08	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	5	10	W
14/06	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
08/06	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
31/05	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
23/05	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	3-2	4	6	W
16/05	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	0	2	W
09/05	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
03/05	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	3	7	D
25/04	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-1	2-3	6	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Leandro N. Alem vs Juventud Unida San Miguel?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Juventud Unida San Miguel win (42%). Probabilities: Club Leandro N. Alem 28%, draw 31%, Juventud Unida San Miguel 42%.

How many goals are expected in Club Leandro N. Alem vs Juventud Unida San Miguel?

The model expects 2.3 goals (Club Leandro N. Alem 1 · Juventud Unida San Miguel 1.29), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Leandro N. Alem vs Juventud Unida San Miguel?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.