Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 26/08, 20:00

Prediction: Central Ballester vs Sportivo Barracas

Team pages: Central Ballester · Sportivo Barracas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.83Total

Central Ballester0.79

Sportivo Barracas1.04

1X2

27% 33% 40%

Central Ballester Draw Sportivo Barracas

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

Central Ballester 0-5-5 (W-D-L)

LLDDLDLLDD

Sportivo Barracas 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDDWLWLWLL

Head-to-head

Central Ballester 4–1–1 Sportivo Barracas (6 last)

Sportivo Barracas0-2Central Ballester
Sportivo Barracas4-2Central Ballester
Central Ballester0-0Sportivo Barracas
Central Ballester1-0Sportivo Barracas
Sportivo Barracas1-2Central Ballester
Central Ballester1-0Sportivo Barracas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Central Ballester 1455 · Sportivo Barracas 1460

	Central Ballester	Draw	Sportivo Barracas
Our model	26%	35%	39%
Market	27%	32%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 1.83 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Central Ballester: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Central Ballester	Sportivo Barracas
Goals for / against (FT)	0.3 / 1.2	1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.5	2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.4	6.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.30

X2.80

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.80

Under 1.752.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
18:05 +7’	3.30	2.80	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Central Ballester 4–1–1 Sportivo Barracas

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Sportivo Barracas	0-2 HT 0-1	Central Ballester
11/08/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Sportivo Barracas	4-2 HT 2-0	Central Ballester
27/04/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Central Ballester	0-0 HT 0-0	Sportivo Barracas
06/10/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Central Ballester	1-0 HT 1-0	Sportivo Barracas
05/05/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Sportivo Barracas	1-2 HT 1-1	Central Ballester
09/10/23 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Central Ballester	1-0 HT 1-0	Sportivo Barracas

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	16	8	5	3	20	11	29
2	Leones de Rosario	16	7	6	3	18	15	27
3	Canuelas FC	16	6	8	2	19	12	26
4	General Lamadrid	16	7	5	4	16	13	26
5	Yupanqui	16	6	6	4	19	15	24
6	Sportivo Barracas	16	6	4	6	15	13	22
7	El Porvenir	16	4	10	2	14	12	22
8	Deportivo Espanol	16	4	9	3	13	11	21
9	CA Claypole	16	5	5	6	13	18	20
10	Central Cordoba de Rosario	16	4	6	6	12	14	18
11	Central Ballester	16	4	4	8	14	19	16
12	CA Atlas	16	3	7	6	11	16	16
13	Deportivo Muniz	16	2	7	7	12	16	13
14	Fenix	16	2	5	9	6	17	11

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Central Ballester	Sportivo Barracas
Canuelas FC	0-1 L	1-3 L
Deportivo Muniz	0-4 L	0-0 D
Deportivo Espanol	0-0 D	0-0 D
Central Cordoba de Rosario	2-3 L	1-2 L
Yupanqui	0-2 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 4 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sportivo Barracas (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Central Ballester

LLDDLDLLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
04/08	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	10	9	D
14/06	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
07/06	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-4	3	5	L
30/05	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
23/05	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-3	2-3	2	6	L
17/05	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
09/05	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
03/05	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
27/04	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	1	6	L

Sportivo Barracas

LDDWLWLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	3	2	L
06/07	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-3	–	–	L
15/06	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	3	12	W
06/06	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	11	3	L
01/06	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	8	W
23/05	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-3	1-3	8	7	L
18/05	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	4	10	W
11/05	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	0	3	D
04/05	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
27/04	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	1-2	6	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Central Ballester vs Sportivo Barracas?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sportivo Barracas win (40%). Probabilities: Central Ballester 27%, draw 33%, Sportivo Barracas 40%.

How many goals are expected in Central Ballester vs Sportivo Barracas?

The model expects 1.83 goals (Central Ballester 0.79 · Sportivo Barracas 1.04), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Central Ballester vs Sportivo Barracas?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.