Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 24/08, 20:00
Prediction: Centro Espanol vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Team pages: Centro Espanol · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.82Total
Centro Espanol0.91
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn0.91
1X2
Centro Espanol
Draw
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Centro Espanol
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Centro Espanol
0–1–2
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
(3 last)
- Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn1-0Centro Espanol
- Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn1-1Centro Espanol
- Centro Espanol1-2Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Centro Espanol 1504 · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1536
| Centro Espanol | Draw | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 35% | 32% |
| Market | 34% | 32% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.82 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 12.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Centro Espanol | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.8 | 1.8 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.2 / 0.6 | 6.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Centro Espanol 0–1–2 Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Centro Espanol |
| 15/09/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Centro Espanol |
| 02/06/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Centro Espanol | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacachispas | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 18 | 42 |
| 2 | CA Lugano | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 22 | 39 |
| 3 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 21 | 38 |
| 4 | Berazategui | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 26 | 19 | 37 |
| 5 | Club Mercedes | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 15 | 36 |
| 6 | Centro Espanol | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 22 | 35 |
| 7 | Victoriano Arenas | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 14 | 35 |
| 8 | Puerto Nuevo | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 35 |
| 9 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 23 | 32 |
| 10 | Club Leandro N. Alem | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 40 | 27 |
| 11 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | 25 |
| 12 | JJ Urquiza | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 24 |
| 13 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 23 |
| 14 | Argentino de Rosario | 25 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 23 | 31 | 21 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Centro Espanol | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn |
|---|---|---|
| JJ Urquiza | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Club Mercedes | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Paraguayo | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Puerto Nuevo | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Club Leandro N. Alem | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Centro Espanol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 04/08 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 31/07 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 25/07 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 06/07 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 27/06 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 08/08 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/08 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 31/07 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 25/07 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 12/07 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 13 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Centro Espanol vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (34%). Probabilities: Centro Espanol 33%, draw 34%, Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 33%.
How many goals are expected in Centro Espanol vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn?
The model expects 1.82 goals (Centro Espanol 0.91 · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 0.91), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Centro Espanol vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.