Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 20/09, 20:00

Prediction: Puerto Nuevo vs Deportivo Paraguayo

Team pages: Puerto Nuevo · Deportivo Paraguayo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.87Total

Puerto Nuevo1.31

Deportivo Paraguayo0.56

1X2

55% 30% 16%

Puerto Nuevo Draw Deportivo Paraguayo

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

1-0 19%

Recent form · 10 last

Puerto Nuevo 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLDWDDLWLL

Deportivo Paraguayo 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWDLLWDWL

Head-to-head

Puerto Nuevo 3–2–1 Deportivo Paraguayo (6 last)

Deportivo Paraguayo0-1Puerto Nuevo
Puerto Nuevo0-0Deportivo Paraguayo
Deportivo Paraguayo1-1Puerto Nuevo
Deportivo Paraguayo0-3Puerto Nuevo
Puerto Nuevo2-1Deportivo Paraguayo
Puerto Nuevo0-1Deportivo Paraguayo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Puerto Nuevo 1493 · Deportivo Paraguayo 1461

	Puerto Nuevo	Draw	Deportivo Paraguayo
Our model	54%	31%	15%
Market	55%	29%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 1.87 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Puerto Nuevo: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Puerto Nuevo	Deportivo Paraguayo
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.2	2.2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.3	4.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.60

X3.10

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.75

Under 1.752.05

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 03:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.60▼	Bet365 1.60
X	3.00 → 3.10▲	Bet365 3.10
2	4.50 → 5.50▲	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:39 +15’	1.75	3.00	4.50
02:51 +18’	1.60▼	3.10▲	5.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Puerto Nuevo 3–2–1 Deportivo Paraguayo

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Deportivo Paraguayo	0-1 HT 0-1	Puerto Nuevo
18/08/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Puerto Nuevo	0-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Paraguayo
17/03/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Deportivo Paraguayo	1-1 HT 0-1	Puerto Nuevo
30/09/21 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Deportivo Paraguayo	0-3 HT 0-1	Puerto Nuevo
09/06/21 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Puerto Nuevo	2-1 HT 1-0	Deportivo Paraguayo
08/02/20 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Puerto Nuevo	0-1 HT 0-0	Deportivo Paraguayo

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sacachispas	28	13	7	8	32	22	46
2	Berazategui	28	11	11	6	31	20	44
3	CA Lugano	28	11	11	6	31	23	44
4	Centro Espanol	28	10	11	7	35	25	41
5	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	28	10	10	8	28	27	40
6	Juventud Unida San Miguel	28	10	8	10	32	28	38
7	Puerto Nuevo	28	9	11	8	25	27	38
8	Club Mercedes	28	9	10	9	27	23	37
9	Victoriano Arenas	28	8	13	7	21	18	37
10	Defensores de Cambaceres	29	9	9	11	25	28	36
11	JJ Urquiza	29	5	14	10	14	23	29
12	Club Leandro N. Alem	28	7	7	14	27	49	28
13	Deportivo Paraguayo	28	6	9	13	18	35	27
14	Argentino de Rosario	28	3	14	11	25	36	23

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Puerto Nuevo	Deportivo Paraguayo
Central Ballester	0-2 L	0-0 D
Club Leandro N. Alem	3-0 W	4-1 W
Defensores de Cambaceres	0-2 L	0-0 D
Juventud Unida San Miguel	1-1 D	2-1 W
Sacachispas	1-0 W	0-2 L
Argentino de Rosario	0-0 D	2-1 W
Berazategui	2-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Paraguayo (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Puerto Nuevo

WLDWDDLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	2	6	L
06/09	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
30/08	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	3-0	0	4	W
23/08	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	3	9	L
14/08	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-2	2	3	D
09/08	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
31/07	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	10	W
23/07	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
17/07	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
05/07	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	7	8	W

Deportivo Paraguayo

LLWDLLWDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-3	1	2	L
06/09	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-1	4-1	2	6	W
29/08	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
22/08	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-1	2-1	7	3	W
16/08	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
10/08	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
04/08	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	9	D
31/07	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	7	4	W
25/07	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
11/07	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	9	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Puerto Nuevo vs Deportivo Paraguayo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Puerto Nuevo win (55%). Probabilities: Puerto Nuevo 55%, draw 30%, Deportivo Paraguayo 16%.

How many goals are expected in Puerto Nuevo vs Deportivo Paraguayo?

The model expects 1.87 goals (Puerto Nuevo 1.31 · Deportivo Paraguayo 0.56), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Puerto Nuevo vs Deportivo Paraguayo?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.