Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 27/09, 20:00

Prediction: CA Atlas vs Sportivo Barracas

Team pages: CA Atlas · Sportivo Barracas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.8Total

CA Atlas0.98

Sportivo Barracas0.82

1X2

38% 33% 29%

CA Atlas Draw Sportivo Barracas

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 55% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

CA Atlas 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWWWLDLL

Sportivo Barracas 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWWLDLWLL

Head-to-head

CA Atlas 1–3–2 Sportivo Barracas (6 last)

Sportivo Barracas1-0CA Atlas
CA Atlas0-2Sportivo Barracas
Sportivo Barracas2-2CA Atlas
Sportivo Barracas0-0CA Atlas
CA Atlas1-0Sportivo Barracas
CA Atlas1-1Sportivo Barracas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Atlas 1482 · Sportivo Barracas 1495

	CA Atlas	Draw	Sportivo Barracas
Our model	37%	35%	28%
Market	39%	32%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 1.8 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sportivo Barracas: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA Atlas	Sportivo Barracas
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 0.8	1.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.3	1.7 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.4	5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.30

X2.80

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.77

Under 1.752.02

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 1.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:41 +6’	2.30	2.80	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Atlas 1–3–2 Sportivo Barracas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/06/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Sportivo Barracas	1-0 HT 0-0	CA Atlas
22/07/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	CA Atlas	0-2 HT 0-1	Sportivo Barracas
07/04/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Sportivo Barracas	2-2 HT 0-1	CA Atlas
11/11/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Sportivo Barracas	0-0 HT 0-0	CA Atlas
09/06/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	CA Atlas	1-0 HT 1-0	Sportivo Barracas
08/12/20 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	CA Atlas	1-1 HT 0-1	Sportivo Barracas

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	29	16	7	6	43	22	55
2	Canuelas FC	29	15	9	5	36	20	54
3	Deportivo Espanol	29	10	15	4	23	15	45
4	Leones de Rosario	29	11	12	6	27	23	45
5	Central Cordoba de Rosario	29	11	10	8	29	21	43
6	General Lamadrid	29	9	12	8	23	26	39
7	Sportivo Barracas	29	11	5	13	31	29	38
8	Central Ballester	29	10	8	11	28	27	38
9	CA Atlas	29	9	9	11	22	25	36
10	El Porvenir	29	7	15	7	23	27	36
11	Yupanqui	29	8	10	11	33	34	34
12	CA Claypole	29	8	8	13	23	36	32
13	Fenix	29	7	10	12	21	28	31
14	Deportivo Muniz	29	4	11	14	17	33	23

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA Atlas	Sportivo Barracas
Canuelas FC	2-0 W	0-2 L
Deportivo Muniz	1-1 D	2-0 W
Deportivo Espanol	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Atlas

LDLWWWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
12/09	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	11	7	L
06/09	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
31/08	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
22/08	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	4	9	W
16/08	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
09/08	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	1	6	W
04/08	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	8	9	L
30/07	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	7	6	D
25/07	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	3	2	L

Sportivo Barracas

LWWWLDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	4	6	L
13/09	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
07/09	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
31/08	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	1	2	L
26/08	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
23/08	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	3	2	L
16/08	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	10	6	W
10/08	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	1	10	W
28/07	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	3-2	3	5	W
17/07	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-2	2-3	4	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Atlas vs Sportivo Barracas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Atlas win (38%). Probabilities: CA Atlas 38%, draw 33%, Sportivo Barracas 29%.

How many goals are expected in CA Atlas vs Sportivo Barracas?

The model expects 1.8 goals (CA Atlas 0.98 · Sportivo Barracas 0.82), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Atlas vs Sportivo Barracas?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.