Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 26/09, 22:00

Prediction: Centro Espanol vs Defensores de Cambaceres

Team pages: Centro Espanol · Defensores de Cambaceres

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.92Total

Centro Espanol1.34

Defensores de Cambaceres0.58

1X2

55% 29% 16%

Centro Espanol Draw Defensores de Cambaceres

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

1-0 19%

Recent form · 10 last

Centro Espanol 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LLDWDWDDDL

Defensores de Cambaceres 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLLWLWDWWD

Head-to-head

Centro Espanol 3–1–2 Defensores de Cambaceres (6 last)

Defensores de Cambaceres1-1Centro Espanol
Centro Espanol2-0Defensores de Cambaceres
Defensores de Cambaceres2-1Centro Espanol
Centro Espanol4-2Defensores de Cambaceres
Defensores de Cambaceres2-1Centro Espanol
Defensores de Cambaceres0-1Centro Espanol

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Centro Espanol 1492 · Defensores de Cambaceres 1519

	Centro Espanol	Draw	Defensores de Cambaceres
Our model	54%	31%	15%
Market	56%	28%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 1.92 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Centro Espanol: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Centro Espanol	Defensores de Cambaceres
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1	1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4	3 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.4	4.9 / 0.9

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.20

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.77

Under 1.752.02

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 1.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
17:24 +9’	1.61	3.20	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Centro Espanol 3–1–2 Defensores de Cambaceres

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Defensores de Cambaceres	1-1 HT 0-0	Centro Espanol
11/09/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Centro Espanol	2-0 HT 1-0	Defensores de Cambaceres
10/04/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Defensores de Cambaceres	2-1 HT 1-0	Centro Espanol
24/09/23 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Centro Espanol	4-2 HT 0-1	Defensores de Cambaceres
16/06/23 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Defensores de Cambaceres	2-1 HT 1-0	Centro Espanol
02/05/23 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Defensores de Cambaceres	0-1 HT 0-0	Centro Espanol

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sacachispas	29	13	7	9	32	23	46
2	Berazategui	29	11	12	6	32	21	45
3	CA Lugano	29	11	12	6	32	24	45
4	Centro Espanol	29	10	11	8	35	27	41
5	Juventud Unida San Miguel	29	11	8	10	34	28	41
6	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	29	10	11	8	29	28	41
7	Club Mercedes	29	10	10	9	28	23	40
8	Victoriano Arenas	29	9	13	7	22	18	40
9	Puerto Nuevo	29	9	11	9	27	30	38
10	Defensores de Cambaceres	29	9	9	11	25	28	36
11	Deportivo Paraguayo	29	7	9	13	21	37	30
12	JJ Urquiza	29	5	14	10	14	23	29
13	Club Leandro N. Alem	29	7	7	15	27	50	28
14	Argentino de Rosario	29	3	15	11	26	37	24

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Centro Espanol	Defensores de Cambaceres
Juventud Unida San Miguel	0-2 L	1-3 L
Leones de Rosario	1-1 D	0-2 L
CA Lugano	0-1 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Centro Espanol (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Centro Espanol

LLDWDWDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	7	2	L
14/09	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
05/09	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	2	10	D
30/08	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
24/08	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	0	6	W
17/08	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-2	5	5	D
08/08	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
04/08	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	6	6	D
31/07	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	3	9	L
25/07	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	9	6	L

Defensores de Cambaceres

DLLWLWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
13/09	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
05/09	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	3-0	5	5	W
29/08	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
23/08	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	7	9	W
17/08	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	6	8	L
08/08	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
31/07	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-2	1-2	12	9	L
26/07	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-2	1-3	8	5	L
17/07	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	6	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Centro Espanol vs Defensores de Cambaceres?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Centro Espanol win (55%). Probabilities: Centro Espanol 55%, draw 29%, Defensores de Cambaceres 16%.

How many goals are expected in Centro Espanol vs Defensores de Cambaceres?

The model expects 1.92 goals (Centro Espanol 1.34 · Defensores de Cambaceres 0.58), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Centro Espanol vs Defensores de Cambaceres?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.