Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 28/09, 20:00

Prediction: JJ Urquiza vs Club Leandro N. Alem

Team pages: JJ Urquiza · Club Leandro N. Alem

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.69Total

JJ Urquiza0.91

Club Leandro N. Alem0.78

1X2

34% 39% 27%

JJ Urquiza Draw Club Leandro N. Alem

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 51% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

0-0 20%

Recent form · 10 last

JJ Urquiza 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDDLLWLWDD

Club Leandro N. Alem 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLLLDL

Head-to-head

JJ Urquiza 3–2–1 Club Leandro N. Alem (6 last)

Club Leandro N. Alem2-0JJ Urquiza
Club Leandro N. Alem0-1JJ Urquiza
JJ Urquiza1-0Club Leandro N. Alem
Club Leandro N. Alem0-0JJ Urquiza
JJ Urquiza3-1Club Leandro N. Alem
JJ Urquiza0-0Club Leandro N. Alem

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JJ Urquiza 1491 · Club Leandro N. Alem 1408

	JJ Urquiza	Draw	Club Leandro N. Alem
Our model	35%	37%	28%
Market	33%	42%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 1.69 goals · Bet365 line 1.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JJ Urquiza (rating 1491 vs 1408).
H2H favours JJ Urquiza: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JJ Urquiza	Club Leandro N. Alem
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 2.9	2.2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0	4.4 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.75

X2.15

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.68

2 (0)2.15

Line ⓘ

Over 1.51.90

Under 1.51.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 1.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:57 +3’	2.75	2.15	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · JJ Urquiza 3–2–1 Club Leandro N. Alem

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Club Leandro N. Alem	2-0 HT 0-0	JJ Urquiza
13/07/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Club Leandro N. Alem	0-1 HT 0-0	JJ Urquiza
30/03/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	JJ Urquiza	1-0 HT 1-0	Club Leandro N. Alem
21/09/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Club Leandro N. Alem	0-0 HT 0-0	JJ Urquiza
23/04/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	JJ Urquiza	3-1 HT 1-1	Club Leandro N. Alem
09/09/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	JJ Urquiza	0-0 HT 0-0	Club Leandro N. Alem

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sacachispas	29	13	7	9	32	23	46
2	CA Lugano	30	11	13	6	33	25	46
3	Berazategui	29	11	12	6	32	21	45
4	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	30	11	11	8	31	29	44
5	Club Mercedes	30	11	10	9	29	23	43
6	Juventud Unida San Miguel	30	11	9	10	35	29	42
7	Centro Espanol	29	10	11	8	35	27	41
8	Victoriano Arenas	30	9	14	7	23	19	41
9	Puerto Nuevo	30	9	11	10	27	31	38
10	Defensores de Cambaceres	29	9	9	11	25	28	36
11	Deportivo Paraguayo	30	7	10	13	22	38	31
12	JJ Urquiza	29	5	14	10	14	23	29
13	Club Leandro N. Alem	29	7	7	15	27	50	28
14	Argentino de Rosario	30	3	15	12	27	39	24

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JJ Urquiza	Club Leandro N. Alem
Defensores de Cambaceres	0-0 D	0-2 L
Juventud Unida San Miguel	2-0 W	1-2 L
Sacachispas	1-2 L	1-1 D
Deportivo Muniz	3-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: JJ Urquiza (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JJ Urquiza

WDDLLWLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
13/09	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
06/09	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	2	4	W
31/08	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	1-2	2	8	L
22/08	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-1	6	1	W
16/08	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
08/08	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
31/07	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
25/07	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
18/07	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	1	4	W

Club Leandro N. Alem

LDLLLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
12/09	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
06/09	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-2	1-4	4	6	L
30/08	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-3	5	4	L
25/08	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	5	0	L
22/08	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
15/08	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-3	4	8	L
08/08	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
27/07	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	6	7	D
18/07	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	1	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JJ Urquiza vs Club Leandro N. Alem?

According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (39%). Probabilities: JJ Urquiza 34%, draw 39%, Club Leandro N. Alem 27%.

How many goals are expected in JJ Urquiza vs Club Leandro N. Alem?

The model expects 1.69 goals (JJ Urquiza 0.91 · Club Leandro N. Alem 0.78), with a 51% chance of over 1.5 goals.

Will both teams score in JJ Urquiza vs Club Leandro N. Alem?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.