Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 27/09, 20:00

Prediction: Canuelas FC vs Fenix

Team pages: Canuelas FC · Fenix

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.06Total

Canuelas FC1.53

Fenix0.53

1X2

62% 26% 12%

Canuelas FC Draw Fenix

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

1-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

Canuelas FC 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWWWWW

Fenix 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WDDWDDLLDW

Head-to-head

Canuelas FC 2–3–1 Fenix (6 last)

Fenix0-2Canuelas FC
Canuelas FC0-1Fenix
Fenix0-0Canuelas FC
Canuelas FC1-0Fenix
Fenix1-1Canuelas FC
Fenix1-1Canuelas FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Canuelas FC 1563 · Fenix 1497

	Canuelas FC	Draw	Fenix
Our model	61%	27%	12%
Market	62%	25%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 2.06 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Canuelas FC (rating 1563 vs 1497).
H2H favours Canuelas FC: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Canuelas FC	Fenix
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.1	1.6 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.2	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.45

X3.60

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.88

2 (+1)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 21.90

Under 21.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.45▼	Bet365 1.45
X	3.25 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60
2	5.00 → 7.00▲	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
18:30 +73’	1.65	3.25	5.00
20:31 +49’	1.45▼	3.60▲	7.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Canuelas FC 2–3–1 Fenix

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/06/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Fenix	0-2 HT 0-0	Canuelas FC
29/06/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Canuelas FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Fenix
12/02/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Fenix	0-0 HT 0-0	Canuelas FC
19/08/23 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Canuelas FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Fenix
17/04/23 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Fenix	1-1 HT 1-1	Canuelas FC
05/09/22 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Fenix	1-1 HT 1-1	Canuelas FC

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	29	16	7	6	43	22	55
2	Canuelas FC	29	15	9	5	36	20	54
3	Deportivo Espanol	29	10	15	4	23	15	45
4	Leones de Rosario	29	11	12	6	27	23	45
5	Central Cordoba de Rosario	29	11	10	8	29	21	43
6	General Lamadrid	29	9	12	8	23	26	39
7	Sportivo Barracas	29	11	5	13	31	29	38
8	Central Ballester	29	10	8	11	28	27	38
9	CA Atlas	29	9	9	11	22	25	36
10	El Porvenir	29	7	15	7	23	27	36
11	Yupanqui	29	8	10	11	33	34	34
12	CA Claypole	29	8	8	13	23	36	32
13	Fenix	29	7	10	12	21	28	31
14	Deportivo Muniz	29	4	11	14	17	33	23

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Canuelas FC	Fenix
Yupanqui	2-1 W	1-1 D
Deportivo Muniz	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Canuelas FC

WLWLLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	4	6	W
12/09	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	8	4	W
06/09	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	3-2	1	8	W
31/08	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	1	3	W
22/08	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
15/08	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-2	1-2	4	10	L
09/08	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	2	6	L
03/08	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	5	6	W
25/07	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	5	1	L
18/07	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	7	8	W

Fenix

WDDWDDLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	0	2	W
14/09	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
06/09	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
31/08	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
24/08	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
16/08	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
10/08	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	3-1	3	2	W
04/08	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
27/07	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
17/07	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	0	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Canuelas FC vs Fenix?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Canuelas FC win (62%). Probabilities: Canuelas FC 62%, draw 26%, Fenix 12%.

How many goals are expected in Canuelas FC vs Fenix?

The model expects 2.06 goals (Canuelas FC 1.53 · Fenix 0.53), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Canuelas FC vs Fenix?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.