Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 29/09, 20:00
Prediction: Deportivo Muniz vs El Porvenir
Team pages: Deportivo Muniz · El Porvenir
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.1Total
Deportivo Muniz0.94
El Porvenir1.16
1X2
Deportivo Muniz
Draw
El Porvenir
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Muniz
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
El Porvenir
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Muniz
1–2–3
El Porvenir
(6 last)
- El Porvenir2-1Deportivo Muniz
- Deportivo Muniz2-2El Porvenir
- El Porvenir2-0Deportivo Muniz
- El Porvenir0-0Deportivo Muniz
- Deportivo Muniz1-2El Porvenir
- El Porvenir0-1Deportivo Muniz
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Muniz 1415 · El Porvenir 1483
| Deportivo Muniz | Draw | El Porvenir | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 32% | 40% |
| Market | 29% | 31% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours El Porvenir (rating 1415 vs 1483).
- H2H favours El Porvenir: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Muniz | El Porvenir | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.3 / 1.6 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.4 | 1.9 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 5.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Muniz 1–2–3 El Porvenir
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | El Porvenir | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Muniz |
| 05/08/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Muniz | 2-2 HT 0-2 | El Porvenir |
| 18/04/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | El Porvenir | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Muniz |
| 07/09/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | El Porvenir | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Muniz |
| 06/04/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Muniz | 1-2 HT 0-1 | El Porvenir |
| 09/09/23 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana | El Porvenir | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Muniz |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 44 | 22 | 58 |
| 2 | Canuelas FC | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 38 | 21 | 57 |
| 3 | Deportivo Espanol | 30 | 11 | 15 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 48 |
| 4 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 31 | 22 | 46 |
| 5 | Leones de Rosario | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 24 | 45 |
| 6 | General Lamadrid | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 40 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 32 | 30 | 39 |
| 8 | Central Ballester | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 28 | 28 | 38 |
| 9 | CA Atlas | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 23 | 26 | 37 |
| 10 | El Porvenir | 29 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 23 | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Yupanqui | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 33 | 34 | 35 |
| 12 | CA Claypole | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 24 | 38 | 32 |
| 13 | Fenix | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 30 | 31 |
| 14 | Deportivo Muniz | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 33 | 23 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Muniz | El Porvenir |
|---|---|---|
| Fenix | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Sportivo Barracas | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Juventud Unida San Miguel | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| JJ Urquiza | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: El Porvenir (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Muniz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 07/09 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/08 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 18/08 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 30/07 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 25/07 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
El Porvenir
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 05/09 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 16/08 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 04/08 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 28/07 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Muniz vs El Porvenir?
According to our model, the most likely result is an El Porvenir win (40%). Probabilities: Deportivo Muniz 28%, draw 31%, El Porvenir 40%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Muniz vs El Porvenir?
The model expects 2.1 goals (Deportivo Muniz 0.94 · El Porvenir 1.16), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Muniz vs El Porvenir?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.