Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 19/09, 20:00

Prediction: Argentino de Rosario vs Berazategui

Team pages: Argentino de Rosario · Berazategui

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.97Total

Argentino de Rosario0.74

Berazategui1.24

1X2

22% 30% 48%

Argentino de Rosario Draw Berazategui

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-1 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Argentino de Rosario 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LDDLWLLDDL

Berazategui 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWLDLDWW

Head-to-head

Argentino de Rosario 0–2–1 Berazategui (3 last)

Berazategui2-2Argentino de Rosario
Argentino de Rosario1-3Berazategui
Berazategui0-0Argentino de Rosario

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Argentino de Rosario 1459 · Berazategui 1507

	Argentino de Rosario	Draw	Berazategui
Our model	21%	32%	47%
Market	22%	29%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 1.97 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Berazategui (rating 1459 vs 1507).
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Argentino de Rosario	Berazategui
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.3	0.9 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4	2.6 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

14.00

X3.10

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.88

2 (-0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 21.98

Under 21.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 1.75

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 14:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 4.00▲	Pinn 4.06
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	1.91 → 1.85▼	Pinn 1.93 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:53 +17’	3.80	3.10	1.91
06:35 +6’	5.50▲	3.40▲	1.60▼
13:51 +30’	4.00▼	3.10▼	1.85▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:35 +67’	4.02	2.86	1.89
11:38 +163’	4.06▲	2.78▼	1.93▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Argentino de Rosario 0–2–1 Berazategui

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Berazategui	2-2 HT 2-1	Argentino de Rosario
16/11/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Argentino de Rosario	1-3 HT 1-3	Berazategui
16/06/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Berazategui	0-0 HT 0-0	Argentino de Rosario

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sacachispas	28	13	7	8	32	22	46
2	Berazategui	28	11	11	6	31	20	44
3	CA Lugano	28	11	11	6	31	23	44
4	Centro Espanol	28	10	11	7	35	25	41
5	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	28	10	10	8	28	27	40
6	Juventud Unida San Miguel	28	10	8	10	32	28	38
7	Puerto Nuevo	28	9	11	8	25	27	38
8	Club Mercedes	28	9	10	9	27	23	37
9	Victoriano Arenas	28	8	13	7	21	18	37
10	Defensores de Cambaceres	29	9	9	11	25	28	36
11	JJ Urquiza	29	5	14	10	14	23	29
12	Club Leandro N. Alem	28	7	7	14	27	49	28
13	Deportivo Paraguayo	28	6	9	13	18	35	27
14	Argentino de Rosario	28	3	14	11	25	36	23

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Argentino de Rosario	Berazategui
Central Cordoba de Rosario	0-3 L	1-0 W
Victoriano Arenas	1-1 D	0-1 L
Centro Espanol	1-1 D	0-1 L
JJ Urquiza	1-2 L	0-0 D
CA Atlas	0-1 L	2-0 W
Club Mercedes	2-0 W	0-1 L
Deportivo Paraguayo	1-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Berazategui (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Argentino de Rosario

LDDLWLLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-3	1	7	L
05/09	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
30/08	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	6	3	D
22/08	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	1-2	1	1	L
16/08	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
08/08	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	8	3	W
31/07	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
23/07	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
17/07	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
12/07	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	2	7	L

Berazategui

WLDWLDLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	5	7	W
06/09	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	1	7	W
31/08	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	9	7	D
22/08	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
16/08	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	2-2	10	5	D
08/08	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	7	7	L
04/08	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
31/07	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	0	3	D
25/07	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	9	2	L
11/07	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	11	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Argentino de Rosario vs Berazategui?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Berazategui win (48%). Probabilities: Argentino de Rosario 22%, draw 30%, Berazategui 48%.

How many goals are expected in Argentino de Rosario vs Berazategui?

The model expects 1.97 goals (Argentino de Rosario 0.74 · Berazategui 1.24), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Argentino de Rosario vs Berazategui?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.