Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 21/09, 20:00

Prediction: Sacachispas vs Victoriano Arenas

Team pages: Sacachispas · Victoriano Arenas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.64Total

Sacachispas1.05

Victoriano Arenas0.59

1X2

46% 33% 20%

Sacachispas Draw Victoriano Arenas

Markets

Under 1.5 goals 50% Not both to score 56%

Most likely score

0-0 21%

Recent form · 10 last

Sacachispas 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWWDLWDL

Victoriano Arenas 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DLDWDLWDDL

Head-to-head

Sacachispas 0–1 Victoriano Arenas (1 last)

Victoriano Arenas1-0Sacachispas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sacachispas 1505 · Victoriano Arenas 1499

	Sacachispas	Draw	Victoriano Arenas
Our model	45%	36%	19%
Market	47%	31%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 1.64 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sacachispas	Victoriano Arenas
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.2	0 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	0/90/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.3	1.7 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.5 / 0.3	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.90

X2.88

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.90

Under 1.751.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 1.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
21:36 +3’	1.90	2.88	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sacachispas 0–0–1 Victoriano Arenas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Victoriano Arenas	1-0 HT 0-0	Sacachispas

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sacachispas	28	13	7	8	32	22	46
2	Berazategui	29	11	12	6	32	21	45
3	CA Lugano	28	11	11	6	31	23	44
4	Centro Espanol	29	10	11	8	35	27	41
5	Juventud Unida San Miguel	29	11	8	10	34	28	41
6	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	28	10	10	8	28	27	40
7	Puerto Nuevo	28	9	11	8	25	27	38
8	Club Mercedes	28	9	10	9	27	23	37
9	Victoriano Arenas	28	8	13	7	21	18	37
10	Defensores de Cambaceres	29	9	9	11	25	28	36
11	JJ Urquiza	29	5	14	10	14	23	29
12	Club Leandro N. Alem	28	7	7	14	27	49	28
13	Deportivo Paraguayo	28	6	9	13	18	35	27
14	Argentino de Rosario	29	3	15	11	26	37	24

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sacachispas	Victoriano Arenas
Centro Espanol	1-1 D	1-0 W
JJ Urquiza	2-1 W	0-0 D
Club Mercedes	0-2 L	1-1 D
Deportivo Espanol	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sacachispas

WDLWWDLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/09	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
05/09	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	4	10	D
31/08	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-1	8	8	W
22/08	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	6	7	L
17/08	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
10/08	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	8	4	W
04/08	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	3	9	W
31/07	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	5	10	L
27/07	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	8	7	D
11/07	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	6	5	W

Victoriano Arenas

DLDWDLWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
05/09	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	1	6	D
30/08	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
22/08	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
15/08	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
09/08	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
31/07	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	9	W
25/07	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
17/07	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
12/07	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sacachispas vs Victoriano Arenas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sacachispas win (46%). Probabilities: Sacachispas 46%, draw 33%, Victoriano Arenas 20%.

How many goals are expected in Sacachispas vs Victoriano Arenas?

The model expects 1.64 goals (Sacachispas 1.05 · Victoriano Arenas 0.59), with a 54% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sacachispas vs Victoriano Arenas?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.