Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 19/09, 20:00
Prediction: Lujan vs CA Atlas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Lujan1.5
CA Atlas0.83
1X2
Lujan
Draw
CA Atlas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Lujan
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
CA Atlas
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lujan
4–1–1
CA Atlas
(6 last)
- CA Atlas2-3Lujan
- CA Atlas1-1Lujan
- Lujan3-1CA Atlas
- CA Atlas0-1Lujan
- Lujan0-1CA Atlas
- CA Atlas1-3Lujan
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lujan 1565 · CA Atlas 1487
| Lujan | Draw | CA Atlas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 29% | 20% |
| Market | 52% | 28% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lujan (rating 1565 vs 1487).
- H2H favours Lujan: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lujan | CA Atlas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.3 | 2.5 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.6 | 5.2 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lujan 4–1–1 CA Atlas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | CA Atlas | 2-3 HT 2-2 | Lujan |
| 15/09/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | CA Atlas | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Lujan |
| 01/06/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Lujan | 3-1 HT 1-0 | CA Atlas |
| 16/11/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | CA Atlas | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Lujan |
| 15/06/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Lujan | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CA Atlas |
| 02/10/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | CA Atlas | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Lujan |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 42 | 22 | 52 |
| 2 | Canuelas FC | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 51 |
| 3 | Leones de Rosario | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 26 | 22 | 44 |
| 4 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 21 | 42 |
| 5 | Deportivo Espanol | 28 | 9 | 15 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 42 |
| 6 | Sportivo Barracas | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 27 | 38 |
| 7 | General Lamadrid | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 22 | 25 | 38 |
| 8 | Central Ballester | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 27 | 37 |
| 9 | El Porvenir | 28 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 23 | 25 | 36 |
| 10 | CA Atlas | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 24 | 36 |
| 11 | Yupanqui | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 32 | 32 | 34 |
| 12 | CA Claypole | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 35 | 29 |
| 13 | Fenix | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 20 | 28 | 28 |
| 14 | Deportivo Muniz | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 17 | 32 | 23 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lujan | CA Atlas |
|---|---|---|
| Canuelas FC | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Deportivo Muniz | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Espanol | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Central Cordoba de Rosario | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lujan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 29/08 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 24/08 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 16/08 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 04/08 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 31/07 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 26/07 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
CA Atlas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 06/09 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 31/08 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 16/08 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 04/08 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 30/07 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 25/07 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lujan vs CA Atlas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lujan win (52%). Probabilities: Lujan 52%, draw 28%, CA Atlas 20%.
How many goals are expected in Lujan vs CA Atlas?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Lujan 1.5 · CA Atlas 0.83), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Lujan vs CA Atlas?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.