Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 21/09, 20:00
Prediction: El Porvenir vs Deportivo Espanol
Team pages: El Porvenir · Deportivo Espanol
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.37Total
El Porvenir0.71
Deportivo Espanol0.66
1X2
El Porvenir
Draw
Deportivo Espanol
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 58%
Most likely score
0-0 27%
Recent form · 10 last
El Porvenir
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Espanol
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
El Porvenir
2–2–2
Deportivo Espanol
(6 last)
- Deportivo Espanol0-0El Porvenir
- Deportivo Espanol0-2El Porvenir
- El Porvenir0-1Deportivo Espanol
- Deportivo Espanol0-1El Porvenir
- El Porvenir0-0Deportivo Espanol
- Deportivo Espanol3-1El Porvenir
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · El Porvenir 1491 · Deportivo Espanol 1534
| El Porvenir | Draw | Deportivo Espanol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 41% | 28% |
| Market | 35% | 34% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.37 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 81%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Espanol (rating 1491 vs 1534).
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| El Porvenir | Deportivo Espanol | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.2 | 0.5 / 0.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.1 | 1.8 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · El Porvenir 2–2–2 Deportivo Espanol
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Espanol | 0-0 HT 0-0 | El Porvenir |
| 18/08/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Espanol | 0-2 HT 0-2 | El Porvenir |
| 03/05/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | El Porvenir | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Espanol |
| 15/11/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Espanol | 0-1 HT 0-0 | El Porvenir |
| 15/06/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | El Porvenir | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Espanol |
| 17/09/22 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Espanol | 3-1 HT 1-1 | El Porvenir |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 22 | 55 |
| 2 | Canuelas FC | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 51 |
| 3 | Leones de Rosario | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 26 | 22 | 44 |
| 4 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 21 | 42 |
| 5 | Deportivo Espanol | 28 | 9 | 15 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 42 |
| 6 | Sportivo Barracas | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 27 | 38 |
| 7 | General Lamadrid | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 22 | 25 | 38 |
| 8 | Central Ballester | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 27 | 37 |
| 9 | El Porvenir | 28 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 23 | 25 | 36 |
| 10 | CA Atlas | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 25 | 36 |
| 11 | Yupanqui | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 32 | 32 | 34 |
| 12 | CA Claypole | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 35 | 29 |
| 13 | Fenix | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 20 | 28 | 28 |
| 14 | Deportivo Muniz | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 17 | 32 | 23 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | El Porvenir | Deportivo Espanol |
|---|---|---|
| Fenix | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Sportivo Barracas | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Club Mercedes | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Lujan | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Espanol (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
El Porvenir
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 05/09 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 16/08 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 04/08 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 28/07 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 11/07 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
Deportivo Espanol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/08 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/08 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 07/08 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 31/07 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 25/07 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 17/07 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 11/07 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in El Porvenir vs Deportivo Espanol?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (37%). Probabilities: El Porvenir 33%, draw 37%, Deportivo Espanol 30%.
How many goals are expected in El Porvenir vs Deportivo Espanol?
The model expects 1.37 goals (El Porvenir 0.71 · Deportivo Espanol 0.66), with a 60% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in El Porvenir vs Deportivo Espanol?
The model gives a 58% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.