Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 16/08, 20:00
Prediction: Deportivo Paraguayo vs Sportivo Barracas
Team pages: Deportivo Paraguayo · Sportivo Barracas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.72Total
Deportivo Paraguayo0.75
Sportivo Barracas0.96
1X2
Deportivo Paraguayo
Draw
Sportivo Barracas
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Paraguayo
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Sportivo Barracas
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Paraguayo
0–4–2
Sportivo Barracas
(6 last)
- Sportivo Barracas0-0Deportivo Paraguayo
- Deportivo Paraguayo0-1Sportivo Barracas
- Sportivo Barracas0-0Deportivo Paraguayo
- Sportivo Barracas5-2Deportivo Paraguayo
- Deportivo Paraguayo0-0Sportivo Barracas
- Deportivo Paraguayo0-0Sportivo Barracas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Paraguayo 1451 · Sportivo Barracas 1507
| Deportivo Paraguayo | Draw | Sportivo Barracas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 36% | 38% |
| Market | 28% | 33% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.72 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sportivo Barracas (rating 1451 vs 1507).
- H2H favours Sportivo Barracas: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 11.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Paraguayo | Sportivo Barracas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.2 / 0.7 | 1.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/80/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.6 | 1.7 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.2 | 6.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Paraguayo 0–4–2 Sportivo Barracas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Sportivo Barracas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Paraguayo |
| 15/08/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Paraguayo | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sportivo Barracas |
| 05/05/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Sportivo Barracas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Paraguayo |
| 02/12/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Sportivo Barracas | 5-2 HT 2-1 | Deportivo Paraguayo |
| 30/06/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Paraguayo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Barracas |
| 10/09/23 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana | Deportivo Paraguayo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Barracas |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 18 | 42 |
| 2 | Canuelas FC | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 39 |
| 3 | Yupanqui | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 26 | 33 |
| 4 | Deportivo Espanol | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Barracas | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 23 | 31 |
| 6 | Leones de Rosario | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 31 |
| 7 | General Lamadrid | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 19 | 23 | 30 |
| 8 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 29 |
| 9 | CA Atlas | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 29 |
| 10 | El Porvenir | 23 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 26 |
| 11 | Fenix | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 23 | 25 |
| 12 | Central Ballester | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 27 | 23 |
| 13 | Deportivo Muniz | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 22 |
| 14 | CA Claypole | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 30 | 22 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Paraguayo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 04/08 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 31/07 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 11/07 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 27/06 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 06/06 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 30/05 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
Sportivo Barracas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 10 | W |
| 28/07 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/07 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 13/07 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 06/07 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 29/06 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 12 | W |
| 06/06 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 01/06 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-3 | 1-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Paraguayo vs Sportivo Barracas?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sportivo Barracas win (38%). Probabilities: Deportivo Paraguayo 27%, draw 35%, Sportivo Barracas 38%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Paraguayo vs Sportivo Barracas?
The model expects 1.72 goals (Deportivo Paraguayo 0.75 · Sportivo Barracas 0.96), with a 59% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Paraguayo vs Sportivo Barracas?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.