Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 16/08, 20:00
Prediction: JJ Urquiza vs El Porvenir
Team pages: JJ Urquiza · El Porvenir
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.42Total
JJ Urquiza0.6
El Porvenir0.82
1X2
JJ Urquiza
Draw
El Porvenir
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 58%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
JJ Urquiza
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
El Porvenir
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
JJ Urquiza
2–4–0
El Porvenir
(6 last)
- El Porvenir0-0JJ Urquiza
- El Porvenir0-0JJ Urquiza
- JJ Urquiza2-1El Porvenir
- JJ Urquiza0-0El Porvenir
- El Porvenir1-1JJ Urquiza
- JJ Urquiza2-0El Porvenir
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · JJ Urquiza 1471 · El Porvenir 1450
| JJ Urquiza | Draw | El Porvenir | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 40% | 36% |
| Market | 26% | 35% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.42 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 80%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours JJ Urquiza: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JJ Urquiza | El Porvenir | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.8 | 1.7 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.6 | 5.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · JJ Urquiza 2–4–0 El Porvenir
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | El Porvenir | 0-0 HT 0-0 | JJ Urquiza |
| 27/07/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | El Porvenir | 0-0 HT 0-0 | JJ Urquiza |
| 13/04/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | JJ Urquiza | 2-1 HT 0-0 | El Porvenir |
| 21/07/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | JJ Urquiza | 0-0 HT 0-0 | El Porvenir |
| 18/02/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | El Porvenir | 1-1 HT 0-0 | JJ Urquiza |
| 19/05/18 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | JJ Urquiza | 2-0 HT 0-0 | El Porvenir |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 18 | 42 |
| 2 | Canuelas FC | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 39 |
| 3 | Yupanqui | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 26 | 33 |
| 4 | Deportivo Espanol | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Barracas | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 23 | 31 |
| 6 | Leones de Rosario | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 31 |
| 7 | General Lamadrid | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 19 | 23 | 30 |
| 8 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 29 |
| 9 | CA Atlas | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 29 |
| 10 | El Porvenir | 23 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 26 |
| 11 | Fenix | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 23 | 25 |
| 12 | Central Ballester | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 27 | 23 |
| 13 | Deportivo Muniz | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 22 |
| 14 | CA Claypole | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 30 | 22 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JJ Urquiza | El Porvenir |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Muniz | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Club Mercedes | 0-5 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JJ Urquiza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 31/07 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 18/07 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 04/07 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 27/06 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-4 | 0-5 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 06/06 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
El Porvenir
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 04/08 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 28/07 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 11/07 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 27/06 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 07/06 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JJ Urquiza vs El Porvenir?
According to our model, the most likely result is an El Porvenir win (38%). Probabilities: JJ Urquiza 25%, draw 37%, El Porvenir 38%.
How many goals are expected in JJ Urquiza vs El Porvenir?
The model expects 1.42 goals (JJ Urquiza 0.6 · El Porvenir 0.82), with a 59% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in JJ Urquiza vs El Porvenir?
The model gives a 58% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.