Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 16/08, 20:00

Prediction: CA Atlas vs Argentino de Rosario

Team pages: CA Atlas · Argentino de Rosario

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.99Total

CA Atlas1.12

Argentino de Rosario0.87

1X2

40% 33% 27%

CA Atlas Draw Argentino de Rosario

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 61% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

CA Atlas 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWLDLW

Argentino de Rosario 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

LLDDLDDDLW

Head-to-head

CA Atlas 2–2–2 Argentino de Rosario (6 last)

Argentino de Rosario1-1CA Atlas
Argentino de Rosario1-0CA Atlas
CA Atlas1-0Argentino de Rosario
Argentino de Rosario3-0CA Atlas
CA Atlas3-3Argentino de Rosario
CA Atlas2-0Argentino de Rosario

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Atlas 1520 · Argentino de Rosario 1480

	CA Atlas	Draw	Argentino de Rosario
Our model	40%	33%	27%
Market	41%	32%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 1.99 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Atlas (rating 1520 vs 1480).
Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA Atlas	Argentino de Rosario
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.7	0.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.3	2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.3	5.2 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.20

X2.80

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
23:13 +13’	2.20	2.80	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Atlas 2–2–2 Argentino de Rosario

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Argentino de Rosario	1-1 HT 0-1	CA Atlas
07/09/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Argentino de Rosario	1-0 HT 0-0	CA Atlas
25/05/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	CA Atlas	1-0 HT 0-0	Argentino de Rosario
28/09/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Argentino de Rosario	3-0 HT 2-0	CA Atlas
28/04/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	CA Atlas	3-3 HT 1-2	Argentino de Rosario
04/11/19 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	CA Atlas	2-0 HT 0-0	Argentino de Rosario

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	23	12	6	5	31	18	42
2	Canuelas FC	23	10	9	4	25	16	39
3	Yupanqui	24	8	9	7	31	26	33
4	Deportivo Espanol	23	7	12	4	18	14	33
5	Sportivo Barracas	22	9	4	9	27	23	31
6	Leones de Rosario	22	7	10	5	20	20	31
7	General Lamadrid	23	7	9	7	19	23	30
8	Central Cordoba de Rosario	23	7	8	8	19	18	29
9	CA Atlas	23	7	8	8	19	21	29
10	El Porvenir	23	4	14	5	17	21	26
11	Fenix	23	6	7	10	17	23	25
12	Central Ballester	22	6	5	11	20	27	23
13	Deportivo Muniz	22	4	10	8	16	21	22
14	CA Claypole	23	5	7	11	16	30	22

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

CA Atlas

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	1	6	W
04/08	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	8	9	L
30/07	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	7	6	D
25/07	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
11/07	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
05/07	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-1	2	6	W
30/06	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
13/06	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	10	W
06/06	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	7	6	D
01/06	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	8	L

Argentino de Rosario

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	8	3	W
31/07	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
26/07	Rosario Central Argentina Copa Santa Fe	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
23/07	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
17/07	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	3	7	D
12/07	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	2	8	L
04/07	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	4	8	D
28/06	Union de Arroyo Seco Argentina Copa Santa Fe	1-0	2-2	2	6	D
27/06	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-3	4	5	L
15/06	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Atlas vs Argentino de Rosario?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Atlas win (40%). Probabilities: CA Atlas 40%, draw 33%, Argentino de Rosario 27%.

How many goals are expected in CA Atlas vs Argentino de Rosario?

The model expects 1.99 goals (CA Atlas 1.12 · Argentino de Rosario 0.87), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Atlas vs Argentino de Rosario?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.