Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 16/08, 20:00
Prediction: CA Lugano vs Lujan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.72Total
CA Lugano0.78
Lujan0.94
1X2
CA Lugano
Draw
Lujan
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
CA Lugano
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Lujan
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Lugano
0–1–2
Lujan
(3 last)
- Lujan0-0CA Lugano
- CA Lugano1-3Lujan
- Lujan2-1CA Lugano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Lugano 1546 · Lujan 1556
| CA Lugano | Draw | Lujan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 36% | 36% |
| Market | 29% | 32% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.72 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Lujan: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Lugano | Lujan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 1.6 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 3.6 | 2.8 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.6 | 4.8 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Lugano 0–1–2 Lujan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Lujan | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Lugano |
| 21/09/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | CA Lugano | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Lujan |
| 21/04/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Lujan | 2-1 HT 1-0 | CA Lugano |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 18 | 42 |
| 2 | Canuelas FC | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 39 |
| 3 | Yupanqui | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 26 | 33 |
| 4 | Deportivo Espanol | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Barracas | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 23 | 31 |
| 6 | Leones de Rosario | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 31 |
| 7 | General Lamadrid | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 19 | 23 | 30 |
| 8 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 29 |
| 9 | CA Atlas | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 29 |
| 10 | El Porvenir | 23 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 26 |
| 11 | Fenix | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 23 | 25 |
| 12 | Central Ballester | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 27 | 23 |
| 13 | Deportivo Muniz | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 22 |
| 14 | CA Claypole | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 30 | 22 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Lugano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 31/07 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 25/07 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 17/07 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 12/07 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 27/06 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 14/06 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Lujan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 04/08 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 31/07 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 26/07 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 29/06 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 07/06 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 30/05 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Lugano vs Lujan?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Lujan win (37%). Probabilities: CA Lugano 29%, draw 34%, Lujan 37%.
How many goals are expected in CA Lugano vs Lujan?
The model expects 1.72 goals (CA Lugano 0.78 · Lujan 0.94), with a 59% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Lugano vs Lujan?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.