Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 19/09, 20:00
Prediction: Juventud Unida San Miguel vs Centro Espanol
Team pages: Juventud Unida San Miguel · Centro Espanol
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.26Total
Juventud Unida San Miguel1.06
Centro Espanol1.2
1X2
Juventud Unida San Miguel
Draw
Centro Espanol
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Juventud Unida San Miguel
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Centro Espanol
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Juventud Unida San Miguel
2–1–3
Centro Espanol
(6 last)
- Centro Espanol2-3Juventud Unida San Miguel
- Juventud Unida San Miguel2-2Centro Espanol
- Centro Espanol0-1Juventud Unida San Miguel
- Juventud Unida San Miguel1-3Centro Espanol
- Centro Espanol2-0Juventud Unida San Miguel
- Juventud Unida San Miguel0-1Centro Espanol
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juventud Unida San Miguel 1532 · Centro Espanol 1492
| Juventud Unida San Miguel | Draw | Centro Espanol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 31% | 38% |
| Market | 31% | 30% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.26 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juventud Unida San Miguel (rating 1532 vs 1492).
- H2H favours Centro Espanol: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Juventud Unida San Miguel | Centro Espanol | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.9 | 1.5 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 5.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juventud Unida San Miguel 2–1–3 Centro Espanol
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Centro Espanol | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Juventud Unida San Miguel |
| 06/07/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Centro Espanol |
| 22/03/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Centro Espanol | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Juventud Unida San Miguel |
| 28/07/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Centro Espanol |
| 27/02/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Centro Espanol | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Juventud Unida San Miguel |
| 28/10/23 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Centro Espanol |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacachispas | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 32 | 22 | 46 |
| 2 | Berazategui | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 31 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | CA Lugano | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 44 |
| 4 | Centro Espanol | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 41 |
| 5 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 40 |
| 6 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 28 | 38 |
| 7 | Puerto Nuevo | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 25 | 27 | 38 |
| 8 | Club Mercedes | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 23 | 37 |
| 9 | Victoriano Arenas | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 37 |
| 10 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 25 | 28 | 36 |
| 11 | JJ Urquiza | 29 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 29 |
| 12 | Club Leandro N. Alem | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 27 | 49 | 28 |
| 13 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 35 | 27 |
| 14 | Argentino de Rosario | 28 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 25 | 36 | 23 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Juventud Unida San Miguel | Centro Espanol |
|---|---|---|
| JJ Urquiza | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| CA Lugano | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juventud Unida San Miguel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/08 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 22/08 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 18/08 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 04/08 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 26/07 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 12/07 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
Centro Espanol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 30/08 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 24/08 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 17/08 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 04/08 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 31/07 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 25/07 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juventud Unida San Miguel vs Centro Espanol?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Centro Espanol win (38%). Probabilities: Juventud Unida San Miguel 31%, draw 31%, Centro Espanol 38%.
How many goals are expected in Juventud Unida San Miguel vs Centro Espanol?
The model expects 2.26 goals (Juventud Unida San Miguel 1.06 · Centro Espanol 1.2), with a 57% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Juventud Unida San Miguel vs Centro Espanol?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.