Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 21/09, 20:00

Prediction: Sportivo Barracas vs Canuelas FC

Team pages: Sportivo Barracas · Canuelas FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.28Total

Sportivo Barracas1.13

Canuelas FC1.15

1X2

33% 32% 35%

Sportivo Barracas Draw Canuelas FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Sportivo Barracas 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Canuelas FC 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLWWWW

Head-to-head

Sportivo Barracas 2–4 Canuelas FC (6 last)

Canuelas FC3-1Sportivo Barracas
Sportivo Barracas1-0Canuelas FC
Canuelas FC1-3Sportivo Barracas
Sportivo Barracas0-2Canuelas FC
Canuelas FC2-0Sportivo Barracas
Canuelas FC1-0Sportivo Barracas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sportivo Barracas 1491 · Canuelas FC 1552

	Sportivo Barracas	Draw	Canuelas FC
Our model	34%	31%	35%
Market	33%	33%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.28 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Canuelas FC (rating 1491 vs 1552).
H2H favours Canuelas FC: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sportivo Barracas	Canuelas FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	1.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.9	1.9 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	5.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.70

X2.75

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.77

Under 1.752.02

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
20:50 +3’	2.70	2.75	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Barracas 2–0–4 Canuelas FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Canuelas FC	3-1 HT 3-0	Sportivo Barracas
28/07/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Sportivo Barracas	1-0 HT 0-0	Canuelas FC
12/04/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Canuelas FC	1-3 HT 0-0	Sportivo Barracas
25/03/19 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Sportivo Barracas	0-2 HT 0-0	Canuelas FC
14/10/18 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Canuelas FC	2-0 HT 0-0	Sportivo Barracas
02/05/18 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Canuelas FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Sportivo Barracas

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	29	16	7	6	43	22	55
2	Canuelas FC	28	14	9	5	34	20	51
3	Leones de Rosario	28	11	11	6	26	22	44
4	Central Cordoba de Rosario	28	11	9	8	29	21	42
5	Deportivo Espanol	28	9	15	4	21	15	42
6	Sportivo Barracas	28	11	5	12	31	27	38
7	General Lamadrid	28	9	11	8	22	25	38
8	Central Ballester	28	10	7	11	28	27	37
9	El Porvenir	28	7	15	6	23	25	36
10	CA Atlas	29	9	9	11	22	25	36
11	Yupanqui	28	8	10	10	32	32	34
12	CA Claypole	28	7	8	13	21	35	29
13	Fenix	28	6	10	12	20	28	28
14	Deportivo Muniz	28	4	11	13	17	32	23

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sportivo Barracas	Canuelas FC
Deportivo Muniz	2-0 W	0-1 L
Deportivo Espanol	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sportivo Barracas

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
07/09	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
31/08	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	1	2	L
26/08	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
23/08	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	3	2	L
16/08	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	10	6	W
10/08	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	1	10	W
28/07	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	3-2	3	5	W
17/07	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-2	2-3	4	8	L
13/07	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	1	6	L

Canuelas FC

WWLWLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	8	4	W
06/09	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	3-2	1	8	W
31/08	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	1	3	W
22/08	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
15/08	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-2	1-2	4	10	L
09/08	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	2	6	L
03/08	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	5	7	W
25/07	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	5	1	L
18/07	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	7	8	W
11/07	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	0	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sportivo Barracas vs Canuelas FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Canuelas FC win (35%). Probabilities: Sportivo Barracas 33%, draw 32%, Canuelas FC 35%.

How many goals are expected in Sportivo Barracas vs Canuelas FC?

The model expects 2.28 goals (Sportivo Barracas 1.13 · Canuelas FC 1.15), with a 57% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sportivo Barracas vs Canuelas FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.