Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 19/09, 22:00

Prediction: San Martin De Burzaco vs Deportivo Laferrere

Team pages: San Martin De Burzaco · Deportivo Laferrere

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.43Total

San Martin De Burzaco1.23

Deportivo Laferrere1.21

1X2

35% 31% 34%

San Martin De Burzaco Draw Deportivo Laferrere

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

San Martin De Burzaco 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLDLWLDW

Deportivo Laferrere 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDLLWDDD

Head-to-head

San Martin De Burzaco 1–2–3 Deportivo Laferrere (6 last)

Deportivo Laferrere0-2San Martin De Burzaco
Deportivo Laferrere2-1San Martin De Burzaco
San Martin De Burzaco1-1Deportivo Laferrere
San Martin De Burzaco1-1Deportivo Laferrere
Deportivo Laferrere2-0San Martin De Burzaco
San Martin De Burzaco1-3Deportivo Laferrere

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Martin De Burzaco 1484 · Deportivo Laferrere 1484

	San Martin De Burzaco	Draw	Deportivo Laferrere
Our model	35%	30%	34%
Market	35%	31%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Deportivo Laferrere: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	San Martin De Burzaco	Deportivo Laferrere
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.5	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5	3.2 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.55

X2.88

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 22.02

Under 21.77

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
03:03 +13’	2.55	2.88	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · San Martin De Burzaco 1–2–3 Deportivo Laferrere

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Laferrere	0-2 HT 0-2	San Martin De Burzaco
27/07/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Laferrere	2-1 HT 0-1	San Martin De Burzaco
09/03/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	San Martin De Burzaco	1-1 HT 1-0	Deportivo Laferrere
08/09/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	San Martin De Burzaco	1-1 HT 1-0	Deportivo Laferrere
23/04/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Laferrere	2-0 HT 0-0	San Martin De Burzaco
10/09/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	San Martin De Burzaco	1-3 HT 1-2	Deportivo Laferrere

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	35	20	8	7	54	28	68
2	Arsenal de Sarandi	35	18	12	5	47	22	66
3	Atletico Camioneros	35	17	12	6	41	22	63
4	Talleres Remedios	35	18	9	8	37	19	63
5	Villa Dalmine	35	16	12	7	35	20	60
6	Sportivo Italiano	35	16	10	9	41	27	58
7	Real Pilar	35	15	10	10	38	34	55
8	Deportivo Armenio	35	14	9	12	36	37	51
9	Club Comunicaciones	35	13	11	11	36	33	50
10	Deportivo Laferrere	35	12	12	11	42	45	48
11	San Martin De Burzaco	35	10	14	11	33	36	44
12	CS Dock Sud	35	10	13	12	38	38	43
13	Argentino Merlo	35	10	11	14	30	35	41
14	Villa San Carlos	35	9	13	13	35	39	40
15	Deportivo Liniers	35	9	13	13	29	35	40
16	Argentino Quilmes	35	9	13	13	29	36	40
17	Deportivo Merlo	35	9	13	13	34	49	40
18	CSD Flandria	35	10	8	17	31	43	38
19	Defensores Unidos	35	8	13	14	31	36	37
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	35	7	13	15	21	37	34
21	UAI Urquiza	35	4	19	12	17	31	31
22	CA Ituzaingo	35	1	12	22	22	55	15

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Martin De Burzaco

LLDLDLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
05/09	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
30/08	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	1	4	L
25/08	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	3-2	7	7	W
22/08	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	6	8	L
15/08	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
09/08	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-4	5	3	L
02/08	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	6	7	D
25/07	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
18/07	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	10	7	L

Deportivo Laferrere

WLWDLLWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	14	4	D
06/09	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-2	7	2	D
29/08	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	6	2	D
25/08	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	1	5	W
22/08	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	8	3	L
15/08	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	3-5	6	7	L
09/08	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
01/08	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-1	3-1	3	3	W
26/07	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	5	1	L
18/07	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	5	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Martin De Burzaco vs Deportivo Laferrere?

According to our model, the most likely result is a San Martin De Burzaco win (35%). Probabilities: San Martin De Burzaco 35%, draw 31%, Deportivo Laferrere 34%.

How many goals are expected in San Martin De Burzaco vs Deportivo Laferrere?

The model expects 2.43 goals (San Martin De Burzaco 1.23 · Deportivo Laferrere 1.21), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in San Martin De Burzaco vs Deportivo Laferrere?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.