Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 19/09, 22:00

Prediction: Atletico Camioneros vs Deportivo Armenio

Team pages: Atletico Camioneros · Deportivo Armenio

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.97Total

Atletico Camioneros1.25

Deportivo Armenio0.72

1X2

48% 31% 21%

Atletico Camioneros Draw Deportivo Armenio

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Atletico Camioneros 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWDDWDWL

Deportivo Armenio 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDLWWLLWDW

Head-to-head

Atletico Camioneros 1–0 Deportivo Armenio (1 last)

Deportivo Armenio1-3Atletico Camioneros

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Camioneros 1559 · Deportivo Armenio 1501

	Atletico Camioneros	Draw	Deportivo Armenio
Our model	48%	32%	20%
Market	49%	30%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 1.97 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico Camioneros (rating 1559 vs 1501).
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atletico Camioneros	Deportivo Armenio
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0	0.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4	2.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.5	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.00

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.75

Under 1.752.05

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:15 +2’	1.83	3.00	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Camioneros 1–0–0 Deportivo Armenio

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Armenio	1-3 HT 1-2	Atletico Camioneros

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	35	20	8	7	54	28	68
2	Arsenal de Sarandi	35	18	12	5	47	22	66
3	Atletico Camioneros	35	17	12	6	41	22	63
4	Talleres Remedios	35	18	9	8	37	19	63
5	Villa Dalmine	35	16	12	7	35	20	60
6	Sportivo Italiano	35	16	10	9	41	27	58
7	Real Pilar	35	15	10	10	38	34	55
8	Deportivo Armenio	35	14	9	12	36	37	51
9	Club Comunicaciones	35	13	11	11	36	33	50
10	Deportivo Laferrere	35	12	12	11	42	45	48
11	San Martin De Burzaco	35	10	14	11	33	36	44
12	CS Dock Sud	35	10	13	12	38	38	43
13	Argentino Merlo	35	10	11	14	30	35	41
14	Villa San Carlos	35	9	13	13	35	39	40
15	Deportivo Liniers	35	9	13	13	29	35	40
16	Argentino Quilmes	35	9	13	13	29	36	40
17	Deportivo Merlo	35	9	13	13	34	49	40
18	CSD Flandria	35	10	8	17	31	43	38
19	Defensores Unidos	35	8	13	14	31	36	37
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	35	7	13	15	21	37	34
21	UAI Urquiza	35	4	19	12	17	31	31
22	CA Ituzaingo	35	1	12	22	22	55	15

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atletico Camioneros	Deportivo Armenio
Sportivo Italiano	1-1 D	1-0 W
San Martin De Burzaco	2-0 W	0-0 D
Villa San Carlos	2-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Atletico Camioneros (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Camioneros

WWDWDDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	6	11	L
06/09	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
29/08	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	10	6	D
26/08	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	2	3	W
23/08	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-2	2	4	D
15/08	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
08/08	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
01/08	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	3	11	D
25/07	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
18/07	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	2	5	W

Deportivo Armenio

DDLWWLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
05/09	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
30/08	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
26/08	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-3	2	4	L
22/08	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
16/08	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
08/08	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
01/08	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	4	6	L
25/07	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
18/07	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-2	6	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Camioneros vs Deportivo Armenio?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Camioneros win (48%). Probabilities: Atletico Camioneros 48%, draw 31%, Deportivo Armenio 21%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Camioneros vs Deportivo Armenio?

The model expects 1.97 goals (Atletico Camioneros 1.25 · Deportivo Armenio 0.72), with a 53% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Camioneros vs Deportivo Armenio?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.