Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 19/09, 22:00
Prediction: Deportivo Merlo vs CSD Flandria
Team pages: Deportivo Merlo · CSD Flandria
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.83Total
Deportivo Merlo0.92
CSD Flandria0.92
1X2
Deportivo Merlo
Draw
CSD Flandria
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Merlo
0-5-5 (W-D-L)
CSD Flandria
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Merlo
2–3–1
CSD Flandria
(6 last)
- CSD Flandria2-0Deportivo Merlo
- CSD Flandria1-1Deportivo Merlo
- Deportivo Merlo0-0CSD Flandria
- Deportivo Merlo3-0CSD Flandria
- CSD Flandria0-2Deportivo Merlo
- Deportivo Merlo0-0CSD Flandria
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Merlo 1429 · CSD Flandria 1506
| Deportivo Merlo | Draw | CSD Flandria | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 35% | 32% |
| Market | 34% | 32% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.83 goals · Bet365 line 1.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSD Flandria (rating 1429 vs 1506).
- H2H favours Deportivo Merlo: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Merlo | CSD Flandria | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/80/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.7 | 2.5 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Merlo 2–3–1 CSD Flandria
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CSD Flandria | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Merlo |
| 26/07/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CSD Flandria | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Merlo |
| 08/03/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Deportivo Merlo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CSD Flandria |
| 03/08/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Deportivo Merlo | 3-0 HT 1-0 | CSD Flandria |
| 17/03/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CSD Flandria | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Merlo |
| 21/08/21 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Deportivo Merlo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CSD Flandria |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 28 | 68 |
| 2 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 47 | 22 | 66 |
| 3 | Atletico Camioneros | 35 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 41 | 22 | 63 |
| 4 | Talleres Remedios | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 19 | 63 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 35 | 20 | 60 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 41 | 27 | 58 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 34 | 55 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 36 | 37 | 51 |
| 9 | Club Comunicaciones | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 36 | 33 | 50 |
| 10 | Deportivo Laferrere | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 42 | 45 | 48 |
| 11 | San Martin De Burzaco | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 33 | 36 | 44 |
| 12 | CS Dock Sud | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 38 | 38 | 43 |
| 13 | Argentino Merlo | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 35 | 41 |
| 14 | Villa San Carlos | 35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 35 | 39 | 40 |
| 15 | Deportivo Liniers | 35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 29 | 35 | 40 |
| 16 | Argentino Quilmes | 35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 29 | 36 | 40 |
| 17 | Deportivo Merlo | 35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 34 | 49 | 40 |
| 18 | CSD Flandria | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 31 | 43 | 38 |
| 19 | Defensores Unidos | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 31 | 36 | 37 |
| 20 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 35 | 7 | 13 | 15 | 21 | 37 | 34 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 35 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 31 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 35 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 22 | 55 | 15 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Merlo | CSD Flandria |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Camioneros | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Sportivo Italiano | 0-4 L | 1-3 L |
| San Martin De Burzaco | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Villa San Carlos | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Deportivo Liniers | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: CSD Flandria (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Merlo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 01/09 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 27/08 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 09/08 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-3 | 0-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 02/08 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 26/07 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
CSD Flandria
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 11 | W |
| 05/09 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 25/08 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 18/07 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Merlo vs CSD Flandria?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (34%). Probabilities: Deportivo Merlo 33%, draw 34%, CSD Flandria 33%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Merlo vs CSD Flandria?
The model expects 1.83 goals (Deportivo Merlo 0.92 · CSD Flandria 0.92), with a 55% chance of over 1.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Merlo vs CSD Flandria?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.