Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 19/09, 22:00

Prediction: CS Dock Sud vs Argentino Quilmes

Team pages: CS Dock Sud · Argentino Quilmes

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.01Total

CS Dock Sud1.22

Argentino Quilmes0.79

1X2

46% 31% 23%

CS Dock Sud Draw Argentino Quilmes

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

CS Dock Sud 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDDWLDWWLL

Argentino Quilmes 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDDDWLLLLW

Head-to-head

CS Dock Sud 2–3–1 Argentino Quilmes (6 last)

Argentino Quilmes0-2CS Dock Sud
CS Dock Sud1-1Argentino Quilmes
Argentino Quilmes2-1CS Dock Sud
CS Dock Sud1-0Argentino Quilmes
Argentino Quilmes1-1CS Dock Sud
Argentino Quilmes1-1CS Dock Sud

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Dock Sud 1520 · Argentino Quilmes 1459

	CS Dock Sud	Draw	Argentino Quilmes
Our model	45%	32%	23%
Market	46%	30%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.01 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Dock Sud (rating 1520 vs 1459).
H2H favours CS Dock Sud: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CS Dock Sud	Argentino Quilmes
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	0.4 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	0.2 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	10/90/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6	1 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.00

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
01:54 +26’	1.95	3.00	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Dock Sud 2–3–1 Argentino Quilmes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Argentino Quilmes	0-2 HT 0-0	CS Dock Sud
02/08/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CS Dock Sud	1-1 HT 0-1	Argentino Quilmes
17/03/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Argentino Quilmes	2-1 HT 0-1	CS Dock Sud
21/09/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CS Dock Sud	1-0 HT 1-0	Argentino Quilmes
04/05/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Argentino Quilmes	1-1 HT 1-1	CS Dock Sud
25/06/23 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Argentino Quilmes	1-1 HT 0-0	CS Dock Sud

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	35	20	8	7	54	28	68
2	Arsenal de Sarandi	35	18	12	5	47	22	66
3	Atletico Camioneros	35	17	12	6	41	22	63
4	Talleres Remedios	35	18	9	8	37	19	63
5	Villa Dalmine	35	16	12	7	35	20	60
6	Sportivo Italiano	35	16	10	9	41	27	58
7	Real Pilar	35	15	10	10	38	34	55
8	Deportivo Armenio	35	14	9	12	36	37	51
9	Club Comunicaciones	35	13	11	11	36	33	50
10	Deportivo Laferrere	35	12	12	11	42	45	48
11	San Martin De Burzaco	35	10	14	11	33	36	44
12	CS Dock Sud	35	10	13	12	38	38	43
13	Argentino Merlo	35	10	11	14	30	35	41
14	Villa San Carlos	35	9	13	13	35	39	40
15	Deportivo Liniers	35	9	13	13	29	35	40
16	Argentino Quilmes	35	9	13	13	29	36	40
17	Deportivo Merlo	35	9	13	13	34	49	40
18	CSD Flandria	35	10	8	17	31	43	38
19	Defensores Unidos	35	8	13	14	31	36	37
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	35	7	13	15	21	37	34
21	UAI Urquiza	35	4	19	12	17	31	31
22	CA Ituzaingo	35	1	12	22	22	55	15

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CS Dock Sud	Argentino Quilmes
Deportivo Merlo	2-1 W	1-0 W
Atletico Camioneros	2-2 D	0-1 L
Sportivo Italiano	0-4 L	0-2 L
San Martin De Burzaco	4-1 W	2-3 L
Villa San Carlos	1-1 D	0-2 L
Deportivo Liniers	1-1 D	1-0 W
Real Pilar	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: CS Dock Sud (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Dock Sud

WDDWLDWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-3	4	3	L
06/09	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
29/08	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	8	4	W
27/08	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-1	4	4	W
23/08	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	2-2	6	4	D
15/08	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-4	9	6	L
09/08	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	4-1	13	3	W
02/08	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
25/07	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
18/07	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	2	3	W

Argentino Quilmes

DDDDWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
06/09	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
29/08	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
25/08	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-3	7	7	L
23/08	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	2	7	L
16/08	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
08/08	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	0	3	D
01/08	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
25/07	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
18/07	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Dock Sud vs Argentino Quilmes?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Dock Sud win (46%). Probabilities: CS Dock Sud 46%, draw 31%, Argentino Quilmes 23%.

How many goals are expected in CS Dock Sud vs Argentino Quilmes?

The model expects 2.01 goals (CS Dock Sud 1.22 · Argentino Quilmes 0.79), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Dock Sud vs Argentino Quilmes?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.