Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 19/09, 22:00

Prediction: Club Comunicaciones vs Defensores Unidos

Team pages: Club Comunicaciones · Defensores Unidos

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.84Total

Club Comunicaciones1.22

Defensores Unidos0.62

1X2

51% 30% 19%

Club Comunicaciones Draw Defensores Unidos

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

1-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

Club Comunicaciones 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLDLDWLWWD

Defensores Unidos 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDLLLWWDDW

Head-to-head

Club Comunicaciones 1–4–1 Defensores Unidos (6 last)

Defensores Unidos1-1Club Comunicaciones
Club Comunicaciones1-1Defensores Unidos
Defensores Unidos2-1Club Comunicaciones
Defensores Unidos0-0Club Comunicaciones
Club Comunicaciones2-1Defensores Unidos
Defensores Unidos1-1Club Comunicaciones

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Comunicaciones 1519 · Defensores Unidos 1513

	Club Comunicaciones	Draw	Defensores Unidos
Our model	50%	33%	18%
Market	52%	28%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 1.84 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Comunicaciones	Defensores Unidos
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.7	1.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.2	2.1 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.4	5.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.20

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.02

2 (+0.75)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 1.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
02:16 +4’	1.73	3.20	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Comunicaciones 1–4–1 Defensores Unidos

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Defensores Unidos	1-1 HT 0-1	Club Comunicaciones
25/06/22 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Club Comunicaciones	1-1 HT 0-1	Defensores Unidos
26/02/22 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Defensores Unidos	2-1 HT 1-1	Club Comunicaciones
25/09/21 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Defensores Unidos	0-0 HT 0-0	Club Comunicaciones
15/05/21 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Club Comunicaciones	2-1 HT 2-1	Defensores Unidos
09/03/20 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Defensores Unidos	1-1 HT 0-0	Club Comunicaciones

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	35	20	8	7	54	28	68
2	Arsenal de Sarandi	35	18	12	5	47	22	66
3	Atletico Camioneros	35	17	12	6	41	22	63
4	Talleres Remedios	35	18	9	8	37	19	63
5	Villa Dalmine	35	16	12	7	35	20	60
6	Sportivo Italiano	35	16	10	9	41	27	58
7	Real Pilar	35	15	10	10	38	34	55
8	Deportivo Armenio	35	14	9	12	36	37	51
9	Club Comunicaciones	35	13	11	11	36	33	50
10	Deportivo Laferrere	35	12	12	11	42	45	48
11	San Martin De Burzaco	35	10	14	11	33	36	44
12	CS Dock Sud	35	10	13	12	38	38	43
13	Argentino Merlo	35	10	11	14	30	35	41
14	Villa San Carlos	35	9	13	13	35	39	40
15	Deportivo Liniers	35	9	13	13	29	35	40
16	Argentino Quilmes	35	9	13	13	29	36	40
17	Deportivo Merlo	35	9	13	13	34	49	40
18	CSD Flandria	35	10	8	17	31	43	38
19	Defensores Unidos	35	8	13	14	31	36	37
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	35	7	13	15	21	37	34
21	UAI Urquiza	35	4	19	12	17	31	31
22	CA Ituzaingo	35	1	12	22	22	55	15

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Comunicaciones	Defensores Unidos
CS Dock Sud	1-0 W	3-0 W
Deportivo Merlo	1-0 W	0-0 D
Atletico Camioneros	0-2 L	0-0 D
Sportivo Italiano	1-0 W	2-0 W
San Martin De Burzaco	0-0 D	2-0 W
Villa San Carlos	0-1 L	0-1 L
Deportivo Liniers	0-0 D	2-3 L
Real Pilar	1-2 L	1-2 L
UAI Urquiza	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Defensores Unidos (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Comunicaciones

WLDLDWLWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
06/09	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
01/09	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
26/08	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	8	3	L
21/08	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
15/08	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
08/08	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
01/08	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
25/07	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	7	8	L
18/07	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	2	3	W

Defensores Unidos

DDLLLWWDDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	3-0	7	3	W
06/09	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
29/08	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
25/08	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
22/08	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	6	8	W
16/08	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	3	10	L
08/08	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-3	6	7	L
01/08	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
25/07	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
18/07	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Comunicaciones vs Defensores Unidos?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Comunicaciones win (51%). Probabilities: Club Comunicaciones 51%, draw 30%, Defensores Unidos 19%.

How many goals are expected in Club Comunicaciones vs Defensores Unidos?

The model expects 1.84 goals (Club Comunicaciones 1.22 · Defensores Unidos 0.62), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Comunicaciones vs Defensores Unidos?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.