Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 21/08, 20:30

Prediction: Club Comunicaciones vs Sportivo Italiano

Team pages: Club Comunicaciones · Sportivo Italiano

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.04Total

Club Comunicaciones0.98

Sportivo Italiano1.06

1X2

32% 32% 36%

Club Comunicaciones Draw Sportivo Italiano

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Club Comunicaciones 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWDWLDLD

Sportivo Italiano 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

LDDWWWDDWW

Head-to-head

Club Comunicaciones 4–1–1 Sportivo Italiano (6 last)

Sportivo Italiano1-1Club Comunicaciones
Sportivo Italiano1-2Club Comunicaciones
Club Comunicaciones1-0Sportivo Italiano
Club Comunicaciones2-1Sportivo Italiano
Sportivo Italiano1-3Club Comunicaciones
Sportivo Italiano1-0Club Comunicaciones

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Comunicaciones 1492 · Sportivo Italiano 1548

	Club Comunicaciones	Draw	Sportivo Italiano
Our model	31%	33%	36%
Market	32%	32%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sportivo Italiano (rating 1492 vs 1548).
H2H favours Club Comunicaciones: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Comunicaciones	Sportivo Italiano
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.9	1.5 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/80/10%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4	1.9 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	4.7 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.80

X2.80

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 21.82

Under 21.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
06:50 +2’	2.80	2.80	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Comunicaciones 4–1–1 Sportivo Italiano

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Sportivo Italiano	1-1 HT 0-1	Club Comunicaciones
18/10/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Sportivo Italiano	1-2 HT 0-0	Club Comunicaciones
31/05/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Club Comunicaciones	1-0 HT 0-0	Sportivo Italiano
15/09/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Club Comunicaciones	2-1 HT 1-1	Sportivo Italiano
27/04/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Sportivo Italiano	1-3 HT 0-0	Club Comunicaciones
31/10/15 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Sportivo Italiano	1-0 HT 0-0	Club Comunicaciones

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	30	16	8	6	45	23	56
2	Talleres Remedios	30	16	8	6	33	15	56
3	Atletico Camioneros	30	15	10	5	35	18	55
4	Villa Dalmine	30	15	10	5	33	16	55
5	Arsenal de Sarandi	30	14	11	5	39	22	53
6	Sportivo Italiano	30	14	10	6	36	22	52
7	Real Pilar	30	12	9	9	33	31	45
8	Deportivo Armenio	30	12	8	10	33	33	44
9	Deportivo Laferrere	30	11	9	10	36	39	42
10	Club Comunicaciones	30	10	10	10	31	29	40
11	Argentino Merlo	30	10	9	11	30	30	39
12	Deportivo Merlo	30	9	11	10	33	45	38
13	San Martin De Burzaco	30	8	13	9	28	30	37
14	Argentino Quilmes	30	8	13	9	26	28	37
15	CS Dock Sud	30	8	12	10	32	31	36
16	Villa San Carlos	30	7	11	12	29	35	32
17	Deportivo Liniers	30	7	11	12	21	30	32
18	CA Brown de Adrogue	30	7	10	13	19	31	31
19	CSD Flandria	30	7	8	15	23	36	29
20	UAI Urquiza	30	3	18	9	14	25	27
21	Defensores Unidos	30	5	11	14	24	36	26
22	CA Ituzaingo	30	1	10	19	19	47	13

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Comunicaciones	Sportivo Italiano
San Martin De Burzaco	0-0 D	2-1 W
Villa San Carlos	0-1 L	1-0 W
Deportivo Liniers	0-0 D	1-0 W
Real Pilar	1-2 L	1-1 D
UAI Urquiza	2-0 W	0-0 D
Villa Dalmine	0-0 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sportivo Italiano (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Comunicaciones

DLLWDWLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
08/08	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
01/08	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
25/07	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	7	8	L
18/07	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
15/07	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
10/07	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	6	6	W
04/07	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
28/06	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-3	2-3	3	9	L
21/06	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	4	D

Sportivo Italiano

LDDWWWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	4-0	4	6	W
09/08	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	3-0	4-0	2	1	W
01/08	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	6	11	D
25/07	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
18/07	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	1	7	W
14/07	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
10/07	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
05/07	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	5	5	D
28/06	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
20/06	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Comunicaciones vs Sportivo Italiano?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sportivo Italiano win (36%). Probabilities: Club Comunicaciones 32%, draw 32%, Sportivo Italiano 36%.

How many goals are expected in Club Comunicaciones vs Sportivo Italiano?

The model expects 2.04 goals (Club Comunicaciones 0.98 · Sportivo Italiano 1.06), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Comunicaciones vs Sportivo Italiano?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.