Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 22/08, 20:00
Prediction: Defensores Unidos vs San Martin De Burzaco
Team pages: Defensores Unidos · San Martin De Burzaco
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.91Total
Defensores Unidos0.88
San Martin De Burzaco1.03
1X2
Defensores Unidos
Draw
San Martin De Burzaco
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Defensores Unidos
0-3-7 (W-D-L)
San Martin De Burzaco
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Defensores Unidos
2–2–0
San Martin De Burzaco
(4 last)
- San Martin De Burzaco1-1Defensores Unidos
- San Martin De Burzaco1-2Defensores Unidos
- Defensores Unidos2-2San Martin De Burzaco
- San Martin De Burzaco0-3Defensores Unidos
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Defensores Unidos 1421 · San Martin De Burzaco 1473
| Defensores Unidos | Draw | San Martin De Burzaco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 34% | 37% |
| Market | 30% | 32% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.91 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Martin De Burzaco (rating 1421 vs 1473).
- H2H favours Defensores Unidos: 2-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Defensores Unidos | San Martin De Burzaco | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.5 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.3 | 2.4 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0 | 5.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Defensores Unidos 2–2–0 San Martin De Burzaco
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | San Martin De Burzaco | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Defensores Unidos |
| 20/04/18 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | San Martin De Burzaco | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Defensores Unidos |
| 22/05/17 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Defensores Unidos | 2-2 HT 1-0 | San Martin De Burzaco |
| 09/11/16 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | San Martin De Burzaco | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Defensores Unidos |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villa Dalmine | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 35 | 16 | 58 |
| 2 | Excursionistas | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 23 | 56 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Atletico Camioneros | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 35 | 18 | 55 |
| 5 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 39 | 22 | 53 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 36 | 23 | 52 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 45 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 33 | 44 |
| 9 | Club Comunicaciones | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 32 | 29 | 43 |
| 10 | Deportivo Laferrere | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 36 | 41 | 42 |
| 11 | Argentino Merlo | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30 | 30 | 39 |
| 12 | Deportivo Merlo | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 33 | 45 | 38 |
| 13 | San Martin De Burzaco | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 28 | 30 | 37 |
| 14 | Argentino Quilmes | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 37 |
| 15 | CS Dock Sud | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 36 |
| 16 | Villa San Carlos | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 29 | 35 | 32 |
| 17 | Deportivo Liniers | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 30 | 32 |
| 18 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 20 | 32 | 32 |
| 19 | CSD Flandria | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 36 | 29 |
| 20 | UAI Urquiza | 31 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 26 | 28 |
| 21 | Defensores Unidos | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 24 | 36 | 26 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 30 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 19 | 47 | 13 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Defensores Unidos | San Martin De Burzaco |
|---|---|---|
| Villa San Carlos | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo Liniers | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Real Pilar | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| UAI Urquiza | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 4 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: San Martin De Burzaco (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Defensores Unidos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 08/08 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 18/07 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 14/07 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 10/07 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 27/06 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 20/06 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
San Martin De Burzaco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 15/07 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 10/07 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 05/07 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 27/06 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Defensores Unidos vs San Martin De Burzaco?
According to our model, the most likely result is an San Martin De Burzaco win (38%). Probabilities: Defensores Unidos 29%, draw 33%, San Martin De Burzaco 38%.
How many goals are expected in Defensores Unidos vs San Martin De Burzaco?
The model expects 1.91 goals (Defensores Unidos 0.88 · San Martin De Burzaco 1.03), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Defensores Unidos vs San Martin De Burzaco?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.