Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 23/08, 00:00
Prediction: Argentino Quilmes vs Villa San Carlos
Team pages: Argentino Quilmes · Villa San Carlos
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.82Total
Argentino Quilmes0.96
Villa San Carlos0.87
1X2
Argentino Quilmes
Draw
Villa San Carlos
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Argentino Quilmes
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Villa San Carlos
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Argentino Quilmes
2–4–0
Villa San Carlos
(6 last)
- Villa San Carlos1-1Argentino Quilmes
- Argentino Quilmes1-1Villa San Carlos
- Villa San Carlos2-2Argentino Quilmes
- Villa San Carlos0-0Argentino Quilmes
- Argentino Quilmes3-0Villa San Carlos
- Villa San Carlos1-3Argentino Quilmes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Argentino Quilmes 1516 · Villa San Carlos 1524
| Argentino Quilmes | Draw | Villa San Carlos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 35% | 30% |
| Market | 36% | 34% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.82 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Argentino Quilmes: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Argentino Quilmes | Villa San Carlos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.7 / 2.1 | 2.6 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Argentino Quilmes 2–4–0 Villa San Carlos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa San Carlos | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Argentino Quilmes |
| 26/07/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Argentino Quilmes | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Villa San Carlos |
| 08/03/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa San Carlos | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Argentino Quilmes |
| 07/09/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa San Carlos | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Argentino Quilmes |
| 21/04/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Argentino Quilmes | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Villa San Carlos |
| 09/09/23 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa San Carlos | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Argentino Quilmes |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villa Dalmine | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 35 | 16 | 58 |
| 2 | Excursionistas | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 23 | 56 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Atletico Camioneros | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 35 | 18 | 55 |
| 5 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 39 | 22 | 53 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 36 | 23 | 52 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 45 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 33 | 44 |
| 9 | Club Comunicaciones | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 32 | 29 | 43 |
| 10 | Deportivo Laferrere | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 36 | 41 | 42 |
| 11 | Argentino Merlo | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30 | 30 | 39 |
| 12 | Deportivo Merlo | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 33 | 45 | 38 |
| 13 | San Martin De Burzaco | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 28 | 30 | 37 |
| 14 | Argentino Quilmes | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 37 |
| 15 | CS Dock Sud | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 36 |
| 16 | Villa San Carlos | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 29 | 35 | 32 |
| 17 | Deportivo Liniers | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 30 | 32 |
| 18 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 20 | 32 | 32 |
| 19 | CSD Flandria | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 36 | 29 |
| 20 | UAI Urquiza | 31 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 26 | 28 |
| 21 | Defensores Unidos | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 24 | 36 | 26 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 30 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 19 | 47 | 13 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Argentino Quilmes | Villa San Carlos |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Liniers | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Real Pilar | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Argentino Quilmes (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Argentino Quilmes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 14/07 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 10/07 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 05/07 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
Villa San Carlos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 08/08 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 14/07 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 10/07 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 04/07 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 20/06 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Argentino Quilmes vs Villa San Carlos?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Argentino Quilmes win (35%). Probabilities: Argentino Quilmes 35%, draw 34%, Villa San Carlos 30%.
How many goals are expected in Argentino Quilmes vs Villa San Carlos?
The model expects 1.82 goals (Argentino Quilmes 0.96 · Villa San Carlos 0.87), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Argentino Quilmes vs Villa San Carlos?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.