Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 22/08, 20:30
Prediction: Deportivo Armenio vs Real Pilar
Team pages: Deportivo Armenio · Real Pilar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.85Total
Deportivo Armenio1.12
Real Pilar0.73
1X2
Deportivo Armenio
Draw
Real Pilar
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Armenio
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Real Pilar
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Armenio
1–2
Real Pilar
(3 last)
- Real Pilar0-1Deportivo Armenio
- Deportivo Armenio0-1Real Pilar
- Real Pilar1-0Deportivo Armenio
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Armenio 1546 · Real Pilar 1505
| Deportivo Armenio | Draw | Real Pilar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 34% | 23% |
| Market | 44% | 33% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.85 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Armenio (rating 1546 vs 1505).
- H2H favours Real Pilar: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Armenio | Real Pilar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.1 | 2.4 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Armenio 1–0–2 Real Pilar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Real Pilar | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Armenio |
| 01/11/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Deportivo Armenio | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Real Pilar |
| 07/06/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Real Pilar | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Armenio |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villa Dalmine | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 35 | 16 | 58 |
| 2 | Excursionistas | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 23 | 56 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Atletico Camioneros | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 35 | 18 | 55 |
| 5 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 39 | 22 | 53 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 36 | 23 | 52 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 45 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 33 | 44 |
| 9 | Club Comunicaciones | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 32 | 29 | 43 |
| 10 | Deportivo Laferrere | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 36 | 41 | 42 |
| 11 | Argentino Merlo | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30 | 30 | 39 |
| 12 | Deportivo Merlo | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 33 | 45 | 38 |
| 13 | San Martin De Burzaco | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 28 | 30 | 37 |
| 14 | Argentino Quilmes | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 37 |
| 15 | CS Dock Sud | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 36 |
| 16 | Villa San Carlos | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 29 | 35 | 32 |
| 17 | Deportivo Liniers | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 30 | 32 |
| 18 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 20 | 32 | 32 |
| 19 | CSD Flandria | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 36 | 29 |
| 20 | UAI Urquiza | 31 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 26 | 28 |
| 21 | Defensores Unidos | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 24 | 36 | 26 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 30 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 19 | 47 | 13 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Armenio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 14/07 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 10/07 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
Real Pilar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 18/07 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/07 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 10/07 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Armenio vs Real Pilar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Armenio win (44%). Probabilities: Deportivo Armenio 44%, draw 33%, Real Pilar 23%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Armenio vs Real Pilar?
The model expects 1.85 goals (Deportivo Armenio 1.12 · Real Pilar 0.73), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Armenio vs Real Pilar?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.