Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 22/08, 00:00

Prediction: Deportivo Laferrere vs Villa Dalmine

Team pages: Deportivo Laferrere · Villa Dalmine

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.23Total

Deportivo Laferrere1.08

Villa Dalmine1.15

1X2

33% 32% 36%

Deportivo Laferrere Draw Villa Dalmine

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Laferrere 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDWWLWDL

Villa Dalmine 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWDDDWLW

Head-to-head

Deportivo Laferrere 0–3–2 Villa Dalmine (5 last)

Villa Dalmine2-2Deportivo Laferrere
Deportivo Laferrere1-2Villa Dalmine
Villa Dalmine2-0Deportivo Laferrere
Villa Dalmine0-0Deportivo Laferrere
Deportivo Laferrere0-0Villa Dalmine

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Laferrere 1518 · Villa Dalmine 1538

	Deportivo Laferrere	Draw	Villa Dalmine
Our model	33%	32%	36%
Market	32%	32%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Villa Dalmine: 2-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Laferrere	Villa Dalmine
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.2	0.9 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.4	2.4 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.4	4.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.75

X2.80

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 22.02

Under 21.77

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
06:55 +2’	2.75	2.80	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Laferrere 0–3–2 Villa Dalmine

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Villa Dalmine	2-2 HT 1-2	Deportivo Laferrere
13/09/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Laferrere	1-2 HT 1-1	Villa Dalmine
27/04/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Villa Dalmine	2-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Laferrere
12/10/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Villa Dalmine	0-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Laferrere
25/05/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Laferrere	0-0 HT 0-0	Villa Dalmine

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	30	16	8	6	45	23	56
2	Talleres Remedios	30	16	8	6	33	15	56
3	Atletico Camioneros	30	15	10	5	35	18	55
4	Villa Dalmine	30	15	10	5	33	16	55
5	Arsenal de Sarandi	30	14	11	5	39	22	53
6	Sportivo Italiano	30	14	10	6	36	22	52
7	Real Pilar	30	12	9	9	33	31	45
8	Deportivo Armenio	30	12	8	10	33	33	44
9	Deportivo Laferrere	30	11	9	10	36	39	42
10	Club Comunicaciones	30	10	10	10	31	29	40
11	Argentino Merlo	30	10	9	11	30	30	39
12	Deportivo Merlo	30	9	11	10	33	45	38
13	San Martin De Burzaco	30	8	13	9	28	30	37
14	Argentino Quilmes	30	8	13	9	26	28	37
15	CS Dock Sud	30	8	12	10	32	31	36
16	Villa San Carlos	30	7	11	12	29	35	32
17	Deportivo Liniers	30	7	11	12	21	30	32
18	CA Brown de Adrogue	30	7	10	13	19	31	31
19	CSD Flandria	30	7	8	15	23	36	29
20	UAI Urquiza	30	3	18	9	14	25	27
21	Defensores Unidos	30	5	11	14	24	36	26
22	CA Ituzaingo	30	1	10	19	19	47	13

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Laferrere	Villa Dalmine
CA Brown de Adrogue	1-0 W	1-0 W
Deportivo Armenio	1-1 D	0-1 L
CSD Flandria	2-1 W	2-1 W
Argentino Quilmes	1-1 D	0-0 D
Defensores Unidos	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Laferrere (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Laferrere

WDWDWWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	3-5	6	7	L
09/08	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
01/08	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-1	3-1	3	3	W
26/07	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	5	1	L
18/07	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	5	7	W
15/07	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
10/07	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
04/07	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	9	4	W
28/06	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
20/06	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	10	4	W

Villa Dalmine

WLWWDDDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
08/08	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	9	4	L
01/08	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	2	2	W
25/07	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
18/07	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
15/07	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
10/07	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	2	6	W
04/07	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	1	5	W
27/06	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	8	2	L
20/06	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	2-1	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Laferrere vs Villa Dalmine?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Villa Dalmine win (36%). Probabilities: Deportivo Laferrere 33%, draw 32%, Villa Dalmine 36%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Laferrere vs Villa Dalmine?

The model expects 2.23 goals (Deportivo Laferrere 1.08 · Villa Dalmine 1.15), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Laferrere vs Villa Dalmine?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.