Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 22/08, 20:00

Prediction: Talleres Remedios vs Excursionistas

Team pages: Talleres Remedios · Excursionistas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.12Total

Talleres Remedios1.3

Excursionistas0.82

1X2

47% 31% 23%

Talleres Remedios Draw Excursionistas

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Talleres Remedios 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWDLWWDLW

Excursionistas 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLWDDWLW

Head-to-head

Talleres Remedios 1–1–1 Excursionistas (3 last)

Excursionistas1-1Talleres Remedios
Excursionistas1-4Talleres Remedios
Talleres Remedios1-2Excursionistas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Talleres Remedios 1540 · Excursionistas 1514

	Talleres Remedios	Draw	Excursionistas
Our model	46%	31%	22%
Market	47%	30%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.12 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Talleres Remedios	Excursionistas
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.5	1.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.2	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.8	2.5 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.2	4.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.00

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.75

2 (+0.25)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 22.00

Under 21.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 03:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 1.91▼	Pinn 2.04 ★
X	2.90 → 3.00▲	Bet365 3.00
2	3.40 → 3.90▲	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
23:29 +39’	2.10	2.90	3.40
22:43 +1’	1.73▼	3.10▲	4.75▲
03:08 +5’	1.91▲	3.00▼	3.90▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:43 +1’	2.04	2.86	3.79

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Talleres Remedios 1–1–1 Excursionistas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Excursionistas	1-1 HT 1-0	Talleres Remedios
22/04/17 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Excursionistas	1-4 HT 0-2	Talleres Remedios
08/10/16 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Talleres Remedios	1-2 HT 1-2	Excursionistas

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Villa Dalmine	31	16	10	5	35	16	58
2	Excursionistas	30	16	8	6	45	23	56
3	Talleres Remedios	30	16	8	6	33	15	56
4	Atletico Camioneros	30	15	10	5	35	18	55
5	Arsenal de Sarandi	30	14	11	5	39	22	53
6	Sportivo Italiano	31	14	10	7	36	23	52
7	Real Pilar	30	12	9	9	33	31	45
8	Deportivo Armenio	30	12	8	10	33	33	44
9	Club Comunicaciones	31	11	10	10	32	29	43
10	Deportivo Laferrere	31	11	9	11	36	41	42
11	Argentino Merlo	30	10	9	11	30	30	39
12	Deportivo Merlo	30	9	11	10	33	45	38
13	San Martin De Burzaco	30	8	13	9	28	30	37
14	Argentino Quilmes	30	8	13	9	26	28	37
15	CS Dock Sud	30	8	12	10	32	31	36
16	Villa San Carlos	30	7	11	12	29	35	32
17	Deportivo Liniers	30	7	11	12	21	30	32
18	CA Brown de Adrogue	31	7	11	13	20	32	32
19	CSD Flandria	30	7	8	15	23	36	29
20	UAI Urquiza	31	3	19	9	15	26	28
21	Defensores Unidos	30	5	11	14	24	36	26
22	CA Ituzaingo	30	1	10	19	19	47	13

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Talleres Remedios	Excursionistas
Deportivo Laferrere	2-0 W	5-3 W
CA Brown de Adrogue	1-0 W	0-1 L
Deportivo Armenio	1-2 L	2-1 W
CSD Flandria	1-1 D	1-1 D
Argentino Quilmes	3-0 W	0-0 D
Defensores Unidos	1-0 W	2-0 W
Club Comunicaciones	0-0 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Talleres Remedios (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Talleres Remedios

DWWDLWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
08/08	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	6	7	L
01/08	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	10	7	D
26/07	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	2	1	W
18/07	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	9	W
14/07	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-2	4	5	L
10/07	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	9	4	D
05/07	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	1	7	W
27/06	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	11	6	W
21/06	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	4	D

Excursionistas

DWLLWDDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	5-3	2	7	W
08/08	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
01/08	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	2-1	7	6	W
25/07	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
18/07	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
14/07	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	9	4	W
10/07	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	7	6	L
04/07	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	1-3	1	6	L
27/06	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	3-0	5-0	4	2	W
20/06	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	7	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Talleres Remedios vs Excursionistas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Talleres Remedios win (47%). Probabilities: Talleres Remedios 47%, draw 31%, Excursionistas 23%.

How many goals are expected in Talleres Remedios vs Excursionistas?

The model expects 2.12 goals (Talleres Remedios 1.3 · Excursionistas 0.82), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Talleres Remedios vs Excursionistas?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.