Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 18/07, 15:00

Prediction: AIK vs GAIS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

AIK1.46

GAIS1.4

1X2

38% 27% 35%

AIK Draw GAIS

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

AIK 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLDWLLWWWW

GAIS 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDWLWDWD

Head-to-head

AIK 2–1–3 GAIS (6 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GAIS (rating 1513 vs 1559).
H2H favours GAIS: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AIK	GAIS
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.8	1.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.2	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.9	2.8 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	2.8 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · AIK 2–1–3 GAIS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Sweden Cup	GAIS	3-2 HT 1-0	AIK
28/09/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	AIK	1-1 HT 0-1	GAIS
31/03/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	GAIS	0-1 HT 0-0	AIK
29/07/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	AIK	0-1 HT 0-1	GAIS
22/07/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	GAIS	2-0 HT 1-0	AIK
19/02/17 Sweden Cup	AIK	1-0 HT 1-0	GAIS

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	11	9	2	0	31	14	29
2	Hammarby	12	6	2	4	26	14	20
3	BK Hacken	12	5	5	2	25	22	20
4	Elfsborg	12	4	6	2	17	13	18
5	AIK	12	5	3	4	16	18	18
6	Djurgarden	10	5	1	4	23	15	16
7	GAIS	12	4	4	4	17	12	16
8	Mjällby AIF	12	4	4	4	19	17	16
9	Malmo FF	11	5	1	5	21	20	16
10	Brommapojkarna	11	4	4	3	16	17	16
11	Vasteras SK	11	4	3	4	20	23	15
12	Kalmar FF	11	4	1	6	14	15	13
13	Degerfors	11	2	4	5	12	17	10
14	IFK Goteborg	11	2	4	5	14	24	10
15	Orgryte IS	12	2	3	7	14	31	9
16	Halmstad	11	1	3	7	10	23	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AIK	GAIS
IFK Goteborg	2-1 W	2-2 D
Vasteras SK	3-2 W	1-0 W
Kalmar FF	0-2 L	3-0 W
Sirius	0-3 L	1-2 L
Hammarby	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: GAIS (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

AIK

DLDWLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-1	2	4	W
05/07	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	2-1	7	2	W
28/06	IFK Vasteras FK Club Friendly List	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
28/06	Vasteras SK Club Friendly List	2-1	3-2	4	1	W
22/06	Kalmar FF Club Friendly List	0-2	0-2	2	2	L
30/05	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-3	9	7	L
24/05	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-1	4	6	W
17/05	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	4	8	D
10/05	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	1-3	2-4	7	4	L
03/05	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	5	1	D

GAIS

DWWDWLWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/07	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
27/06	Valerenga Club Friendly List	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
17/06	Halmstad Club Friendly List	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
30/05	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	3-0	8	3	W
24/05	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	1-2	4	4	L
20/05	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
16/05	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
09/05	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
03/05	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	4-0	8	1	W
26/04	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	2-2	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AIK vs GAIS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AIK win (38%). Probabilities: AIK 38%, draw 27%, GAIS 35%.

How many goals are expected in AIK vs GAIS?

The model expects 2.85 goals (AIK 1.46 · GAIS 1.4), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in AIK vs GAIS?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.