Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 26/07, 14:00

Prediction: Brommapojkarna vs Hammarby

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.31Total
Brommapojkarna1.12
Hammarby2.2
1X2
17% 22% 61%
Brommapojkarna Draw Hammarby
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Brommapojkarna 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LWLWWDLDLL
Hammarby 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
WLWLLLWWWW
Head-to-head
Brommapojkarna 1–1–4 Hammarby (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brommapojkarna 1476 · Hammarby 1574
BrommapojkarnaDrawHammarby
Our model17%22%61%
Market17%22%61%
Estimated total (ours) 3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hammarby (rating 1476 vs 1574).
  • H2H favours Hammarby: 4-1-1.
  • High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BrommapojkarnaHammarby
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.52.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.71.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 5.43.1 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.2 / 0.22.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brommapojkarna 114 Hammarby

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/09/25
Club Friendly List
Brommapojkarna1-4
HT 0-2
Hammarby
20/07/25
Sweden Allsvenskan
Hammarby3-2
HT 0-2
Brommapojkarna
06/04/25
Sweden Allsvenskan
Brommapojkarna0-2
HT 0-0
Hammarby
12/08/24
Sweden Allsvenskan
Hammarby3-3
HT 3-1
Brommapojkarna
20/07/24
Sweden Allsvenskan
Brommapojkarna0-2
HT 0-0
Hammarby
23/06/24
Club Friendly List
Brommapojkarna3-1
HT 2-0
Hammarby

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Sirius 131120 361635
2 Hammarby 14824 321426
3 BK Hacken 13652 272223
4 AIK 13634 181821
5 Djurgarden 11614 261519
6 Malmo FF 12615 252019
7 GAIS 14545 181419
8 Vasteras SK 13544 222319
9 Elfsborg 14464 181718
10 Mjällby AIF 13454 191717
11 Brommapojkarna 13445 182116
12 Kalmar FF 12417 141713
13 IFK Goteborg 13346 162913
14 Degerfors 13247 122310
15 Orgryte IS 12237 14319
16 Halmstad 13139 10286

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBrommapojkarnaHammarby
IFK Goteborg 1-2 L 1-0 W
GAIS 1-1 D 0-2 L
Kalmar FF 0-2 L 2-0 W
Degerfors 2-2 D 4-0 W
Elfsborg 0-2 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 3 L 4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Hammarby (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brommapojkarna

LWLWWDLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/07 IFK Goteborg
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 1-2 53 L
12/07 Sirius
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-2 1-2 51 L
06/07 GAIS
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-1 1-1 32 D
27/06 Kalmar FF
Club Friendly List
0-2 0-2 L
31/05 Degerfors
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-0 2-2 51 D
22/05 Djurgarden
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-1 2-1 82 W
17/05 Kalmar FF
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-0 1-0 44 W
08/05 Elfsborg
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 0-2 82 L
04/05 Halmstad
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 3-1 56 W
26/04 Vasteras SK
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-1 1-2 61 L

Hammarby

WLWLLLWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/07 Degerfors
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-0 4-0 61 W
12/07 Kalmar FF
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-0 2-0 52 W
05/07 Elfsborg
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 2-1 81 W
24/06 BK Hacken
Club Friendly List
3-1 4-1 50 W
31/05 BK Hacken
Sweden Allsvenskan
2-0 2-3 85 L
24/05 AIK
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 1-2 56 L
20/05 GAIS
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-1 0-2 34 L
17/05 Malmo FF
Sweden Allsvenskan
3-1 4-1 102 W
14/05 Mjällby AIF
Sweden Cup
1-2 1-2 55 L
09/05 IFK Goteborg
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 1-0 52 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brommapojkarna vs Hammarby?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hammarby win (61%). Probabilities: Brommapojkarna 17%, draw 22%, Hammarby 61%.

How many goals are expected in Brommapojkarna vs Hammarby?

The model expects 3.31 goals (Brommapojkarna 1.12 · Hammarby 2.2), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Brommapojkarna vs Hammarby?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.