Prediction: Sirius vs IFK Goteborg
| Sirius | Draw | IFK Goteborg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 20% | 18% |
| Market | 61% | 21% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sirius (rating 1597 vs 1466).
- H2H favours IFK Goteborg: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sirius | IFK Goteborg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/10/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.9 / 6.1 | 2.4 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sirius 1–3–2 IFK Goteborg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Sweden Cup | Sirius | 0-0 HT 0-0 | IFK Goteborg |
| 20/07/25 Sweden Allsvenskan | Sirius | 0-1 HT 0-0 | IFK Goteborg |
| 06/07/25 Sweden Allsvenskan | IFK Goteborg | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Sirius |
| 17/08/24 Sweden Allsvenskan | IFK Goteborg | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sirius |
| 16/05/24 Sweden Allsvenskan | Sirius | 2-2 HT 1-0 | IFK Goteborg |
| 07/10/23 Sweden Allsvenskan | IFK Goteborg | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sirius |
Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 16 | 35 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | BK Hacken | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 22 | 23 |
| 4 | AIK | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 21 |
| 5 | Djurgarden | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 15 | 19 |
| 6 | Malmo FF | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 19 |
| 7 | GAIS | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 19 |
| 8 | Vasteras SK | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 23 | 19 |
| 9 | Elfsborg | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 18 |
| 10 | Mjällby AIF | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 17 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 16 |
| 12 | Kalmar FF | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 13 |
| 13 | IFK Goteborg | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 13 |
| 14 | Degerfors | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 9 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sirius | IFK Goteborg |
|---|---|---|
| Brommapojkarna | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Mjällby AIF | 4-4 D | 1-1 D |
| Djurgarden | 1-1 D | 0-6 L |
| AIK | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Orgryte IS | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Sirius (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sirius
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/07 | Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 03/07 | Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 26/06 | Djurgarden Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 30/05 | AIK Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/05 | GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 18/05 | Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | D |
IFK Goteborg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 12/07 | Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | AIK Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Ham-Kam Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/06 | Valerenga Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan |
4-2 | 5-4 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 19/05 | Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 04/05 | Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-3 | 0-6 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sirius vs IFK Goteborg?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sirius win (61%). Probabilities: Sirius 61%, draw 21%, IFK Goteborg 18%.
How many goals are expected in Sirius vs IFK Goteborg?
The model expects 3.64 goals (Sirius 2.37 · IFK Goteborg 1.27), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sirius vs IFK Goteborg?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.