Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 26/07, 16:30

Prediction: GAIS vs Halmstad

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

GAIS2.22

Halmstad0.74

1X2

70% 19% 11%

GAIS Draw Halmstad

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

GAIS 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWDWDWL

Halmstad 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLDWLDDLLL

Head-to-head

GAIS 4–2–0 Halmstad (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GAIS 1561 · Halmstad 1410

	GAIS	Draw	Halmstad
Our model	70%	20%	10%
Market	71%	18%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GAIS (rating 1561 vs 1410).
H2H favours GAIS: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	GAIS	Halmstad
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.8	1.1 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.5	2.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.3	2.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.30

X5.00

28.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.90

2 (+1.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Pinn 1.33
X	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 5.23 ★
2	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7% Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:06 +5’	1.30	5.00	8.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:11	1.31	5.43	8.59
04:12	1.33▲	5.23▼	8.07▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · GAIS 4–2–0 Halmstad

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/06/26 Club Friendly List	GAIS	1-1 HT 0-0	Halmstad
29/03/26 Club Friendly List	GAIS	2-0 HT 0-0	Halmstad
26/07/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	GAIS	3-0 HT 2-0	Halmstad
19/06/25 Club Friendly List	GAIS	0-0 HT 0-0	Halmstad
14/05/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Halmstad	1-3 HT 1-1	GAIS
18/08/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	GAIS	3-1 HT 2-0	Halmstad

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	13	11	2	0	36	16	35
2	Hammarby	14	8	2	4	32	14	26
3	BK Hacken	13	6	5	2	27	22	23
4	AIK	13	6	3	4	18	18	21
5	Djurgarden	11	6	1	4	26	15	19
6	Malmo FF	12	6	1	5	25	20	19
7	GAIS	14	5	4	5	18	14	19
8	Vasteras SK	13	5	4	4	22	23	19
9	Elfsborg	14	4	6	4	18	17	18
10	Mjällby AIF	13	4	5	4	19	17	17
11	Brommapojkarna	13	4	4	5	18	21	16
12	Kalmar FF	12	4	1	7	14	17	13
13	IFK Goteborg	13	3	4	6	16	29	13
14	Degerfors	13	2	4	7	12	23	10
15	Orgryte IS	12	2	3	7	14	31	9
16	Halmstad	13	1	3	9	10	28	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	GAIS	Halmstad
Elfsborg	1-0 W	1-1 D
Brommapojkarna	1-1 D	1-3 L
Kalmar FF	3-0 W	0-2 L
Vasteras SK	1-0 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: GAIS (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

GAIS

WDWLWDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-2	5	2	L
12/07	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
06/07	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
27/06	Valerenga Club Friendly List	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
17/06	Halmstad Club Friendly List	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
30/05	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	3-0	8	3	W
24/05	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	1-2	4	4	L
20/05	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
16/05	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
09/05	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	5	3	W

Halmstad

LLDWLDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-2	7	2	L
13/07	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-3	7	1	L
04/07	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	1-3	3	4	L
24/06	Mjällby AIF Club Friendly List	0-1	3-3	8	1	D
17/06	GAIS Club Friendly List	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
30/05	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	2-2	2-5	5	1	L
23/05	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
16/05	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-1	2	1	D
10/05	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
04/05	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-3	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GAIS vs Halmstad?

According to our model, the most likely result is a GAIS win (70%). Probabilities: GAIS 70%, draw 19%, Halmstad 11%.

How many goals are expected in GAIS vs Halmstad?

The model expects 2.96 goals (GAIS 2.22 · Halmstad 0.74), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in GAIS vs Halmstad?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.