Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 19/07, 16:30
Prediction: Hammarby vs Degerfors
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.96Total
Hammarby1.9
Degerfors1.06
1X2
Hammarby
Draw
Degerfors
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hammarby
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Degerfors
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hammarby
4–2–0
Degerfors
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hammarby (rating 1540 vs 1469).
- H2H favours Hammarby: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hammarby | Degerfors | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 0/30/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.1 | 1.9 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hammarby 4–2–0 Degerfors
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/25 Sweden Allsvenskan | Degerfors | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Hammarby |
| 26/05/25 Sweden Allsvenskan | Hammarby | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Degerfors |
| 25/05/23 Sweden Allsvenskan | Degerfors | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Hammarby |
| 02/04/23 Sweden Allsvenskan | Hammarby | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Degerfors |
| 22/08/22 Sweden Allsvenskan | Hammarby | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Degerfors |
| 21/04/22 Sweden Allsvenskan | Degerfors | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Hammarby |
Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 14 | 20 |
| 3 | BK Hacken | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 22 | 20 |
| 4 | Elfsborg | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 18 |
| 5 | AIK | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 18 |
| 6 | Djurgarden | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 16 |
| 7 | GAIS | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 16 |
| 8 | Mjällby AIF | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 16 |
| 9 | Malmo FF | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 16 |
| 10 | Brommapojkarna | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 17 | 16 |
| 11 | Vasteras SK | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 23 | 15 |
| 12 | Kalmar FF | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 13 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 10 |
| 14 | IFK Goteborg | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 10 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 9 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hammarby | Degerfors |
|---|---|---|
| Kalmar FF | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| BK Hacken | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| AIK | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| GAIS | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Malmo FF | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Mjällby AIF | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Vasteras SK | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Hammarby (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hammarby
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 24/06 | BK Hacken Club Friendly List |
3-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | AIK Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 20/05 | GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
3-1 | 4-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 14/05 | Mjällby AIF Sweden Cup |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
Degerfors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 04/07 | Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 26/06 | Lillestrom Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 27/04 | Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 23/04 | AIK Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hammarby vs Degerfors?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hammarby win (56%). Probabilities: Hammarby 56%, draw 24%, Degerfors 20%.
How many goals are expected in Hammarby vs Degerfors?
The model expects 2.96 goals (Hammarby 1.9 · Degerfors 1.06), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Hammarby vs Degerfors?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.