Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 30/08, 14:00

Prediction: AIK vs Hammarby

Team pages: AIK · Hammarby

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

AIK1.77

Hammarby1.36

1X2

46% 25% 29%

AIK Draw Hammarby

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

AIK 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWWWDLWW

Hammarby 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWDWWW

Head-to-head

AIK 2–1–3 Hammarby (6 last)

Hammarby1-2AIK
Hammarby2-1AIK
AIK0-0Hammarby
AIK1-0Hammarby
Hammarby2-1AIK
Hammarby4-2AIK

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hammarby: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AIK	Hammarby
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.4	2.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.1	4.3 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	2.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.99

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:27

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	5.06 → 5.06	Pinn 5.06
X	4.92 → 4.92	Pinn 4.92
2	1.51 → 1.51	Pinn 1.51

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
00:25 +1’	5.06	4.92	1.51

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AIK 2–1–3 Hammarby

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	Hammarby	1-2 HT 0-0	AIK
19/10/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Hammarby	2-1 HT 1-0	AIK
18/05/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	AIK	0-0 HT 0-0	Hammarby
29/09/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	AIK	1-0 HT 0-0	Hammarby
19/05/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Hammarby	2-1 HT 0-0	AIK
03/09/23 Sweden Allsvenskan	Hammarby	4-2 HT 1-1	AIK

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	18	13	3	2	47	26	42
2	Hammarby	18	11	3	4	42	15	36
3	BK Hacken	18	8	7	3	32	26	31
4	Elfsborg	18	7	7	4	25	19	28
5	AIK	17	8	4	5	25	25	28
6	Djurgarden	16	8	2	6	34	19	26
7	Malmo FF	17	8	2	7	32	27	26
8	Vasteras SK	18	7	5	6	25	32	26
9	Brommapojkarna	18	6	6	6	27	27	24
10	GAIS	18	6	5	7	21	18	23
11	Mjällby AIF	16	5	5	6	24	23	20
12	IFK Goteborg	18	5	5	8	23	39	20
13	Kalmar FF	18	5	4	9	21	28	19
14	Degerfors	18	4	4	10	17	29	16
15	Orgryte IS	18	3	5	10	22	41	14
16	Halmstad	18	1	5	12	12	35	8

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AIK	Hammarby
BK Hacken	0-0 D	3-0 W
GAIS	2-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Hammarby (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AIK

DWLWWWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	3-0	3-1	1	6	W
08/08	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	4-3	4	3	W
02/08	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-3	5	3	L
27/07	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
18/07	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
11/07	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-1	2	4	W
05/07	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	2-1	7	2	W
30/05	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-3	9	7	L
24/05	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-1	4	6	W
17/05	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	4	8	D

Hammarby

LLLWWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	2-0	8	2	W
16/08	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	4-0	9	1	W
09/08	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	3-0	12	2	W
26/07	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-1	11	1	D
19/07	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	4-0	6	1	W
12/07	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
05/07	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-1	8	1	W
31/05	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	2-3	8	5	L
24/05	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-2	5	6	L
20/05	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-2	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AIK vs Hammarby?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AIK win (46%). Probabilities: AIK 46%, draw 25%, Hammarby 29%.

How many goals are expected in AIK vs Hammarby?

The model expects 3.13 goals (AIK 1.77 · Hammarby 1.36), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in AIK vs Hammarby?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.