Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 07/09, 19:00

Prediction: Mjällby AIF vs IFK Goteborg

Team pages: Mjällby AIF · IFK Goteborg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.83Total

Mjällby AIF1.62

IFK Goteborg1.21

1X2

46% 26% 28%

Mjällby AIF Draw IFK Goteborg

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Mjällby AIF 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LDDDLDLLWL

IFK Goteborg 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWWLDW

Head-to-head

Mjällby AIF 3–1–2 IFK Goteborg (6 last)

IFK Goteborg1-1Mjällby AIF
IFK Goteborg0-2Mjällby AIF
Mjällby AIF1-0IFK Goteborg
Mjällby AIF1-0IFK Goteborg
IFK Goteborg1-0Mjällby AIF
Mjällby AIF0-1IFK Goteborg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mjällby AIF 1442 · IFK Goteborg 1475

	Mjällby AIF	Draw	IFK Goteborg
Our model	46%	27%	27%
Market	46%	26%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Mjällby AIF: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mjällby AIF	IFK Goteborg
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.9	1.6 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1	0.8 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.2	3.9 / 8.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.60

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:46 +4’	2.00	3.60	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mjällby AIF 3–1–2 IFK Goteborg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/05/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	IFK Goteborg	1-1 HT 0-0	Mjällby AIF
20/10/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	IFK Goteborg	0-2 HT 0-2	Mjällby AIF
04/05/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Mjällby AIF	1-0 HT 1-0	IFK Goteborg
10/11/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Mjällby AIF	1-0 HT 1-0	IFK Goteborg
21/05/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	IFK Goteborg	1-0 HT 0-0	Mjällby AIF
24/09/23 Sweden Allsvenskan	Mjällby AIF	0-1 HT 0-0	IFK Goteborg

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	19	13	3	3	47	27	42
2	Hammarby	19	11	3	5	44	18	36
3	Djurgarden	18	10	2	6	41	19	32
4	Elfsborg	19	8	7	4	27	19	31
5	BK Hacken	19	8	7	4	33	29	31
6	AIK	18	9	4	5	28	27	31
7	Malmo FF	19	9	2	8	33	30	29
8	Vasteras SK	19	8	5	6	28	33	29
9	GAIS	19	7	5	7	25	18	26
10	Brommapojkarna	19	6	6	7	27	31	24
11	IFK Goteborg	19	6	5	8	24	39	23
12	Mjällby AIF	17	5	5	7	24	27	20
13	Kalmar FF	19	5	4	10	21	29	19
14	Degerfors	19	4	4	11	17	31	16
15	Orgryte IS	19	3	5	11	22	42	14
16	Halmstad	19	2	5	12	13	35	11

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mjällby AIF	IFK Goteborg
Sirius	4-3 W	1-4 L
Elfsborg	0-1 L	1-1 D
Kalmar FF	1-2 L	3-2 W
Vasteras SK	0-0 D	5-4 W
AIK	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Goteborg (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mjällby AIF

LDDDLDLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	0-3	0-4	1	1	L
15/08	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	0-3	4-3	7	5	W
08/08	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-1	2	1	L
25/07	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-2	2	5	L
17/07	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	11	6	D
11/07	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-2	5	4	L
03/07	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	4-4	3	1	D
25/05	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-1	3	9	D
21/05	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
17/05	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	5	5	L

IFK Goteborg

WLLWLWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	11	2	W
23/08	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-1	9	5	D
16/08	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	0-3	0-3	14	2	L
09/08	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	3-2	13	3	W
02/08	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-0	8	4	W
26/07	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	1-4	4	5	L
17/07	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-1	10	3	W
12/07	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-3	0-4	4	3	L
05/07	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-2	10	2	L
31/05	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	4-2	5-4	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mjällby AIF vs IFK Goteborg?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mjällby AIF win (46%). Probabilities: Mjällby AIF 46%, draw 26%, IFK Goteborg 28%.

How many goals are expected in Mjällby AIF vs IFK Goteborg?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Mjällby AIF 1.62 · IFK Goteborg 1.21), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Mjällby AIF vs IFK Goteborg?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.