Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 28/10, 19:00

Prediction: Degerfors vs Vasteras SK

Team pages: Degerfors · Vasteras SK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.39Total

Degerfors1.13

Vasteras SK1.26

1X2

32% 30% 38%

Degerfors Draw Vasteras SK

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Degerfors 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WWLLWLLDLL

Vasteras SK 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Degerfors 2–2–2 Vasteras SK (6 last)

Vasteras SK2-0Degerfors
Degerfors1-0Vasteras SK
Degerfors2-2Vasteras SK
Degerfors4-1Vasteras SK
Vasteras SK2-2Degerfors
Vasteras SK1-0Degerfors

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vasteras SK (rating 1459 vs 1533).
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Degerfors	Vasteras SK
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.5	1.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.3	2.2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:19

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.47 → 2.49▲	Pinn 2.49
X	3.27 → 3.28▲	Pinn 3.28
2	2.87 → 2.84▼	Pinn 2.84

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:14 +228’	2.47	3.27	2.87
23:10 +9’	2.49▲	3.28▲	2.84▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Degerfors 2–2–2 Vasteras SK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/07/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	Vasteras SK	2-0 HT 1-0	Degerfors
08/03/25 Club Friendly List	Degerfors	1-0 HT 1-0	Vasteras SK
14/03/21 Sweden Cup	Degerfors	2-2 HT 1-0	Vasteras SK
05/10/20 Sweden Superettan	Degerfors	4-1 HT 3-1	Vasteras SK
21/06/20 Sweden Superettan	Vasteras SK	2-2 HT 1-2	Degerfors
22/09/19 Sweden Superettan	Vasteras SK	1-0 HT 0-0	Degerfors

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	25	17	4	4	56	32	55
2	Djurgarden	25	15	3	7	52	23	48
3	Hammarby	24	14	4	6	50	21	46
4	BK Hacken	25	12	9	4	47	30	45
5	Elfsborg	25	11	9	5	37	24	42
6	Vasteras SK	25	11	5	9	36	38	38
7	Malmo FF	25	11	4	10	38	34	37
8	AIK	25	10	7	8	40	43	37
9	IFK Goteborg	24	10	6	8	34	43	36
10	Brommapojkarna	25	9	6	10	39	43	33
11	GAIS	24	8	6	10	30	25	30
12	Mjällby AIF	24	5	8	11	28	40	23
13	Kalmar FF	25	6	4	15	23	41	22
14	Degerfors	25	5	5	15	21	41	20
15	Orgryte IS	25	4	7	14	31	56	19
16	Halmstad	25	4	5	16	18	46	17

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Degerfors	Vasteras SK
BK Hacken	0-4 L	3-1 W
Kalmar FF	1-2 L	0-0 D
Mjällby AIF	1-1 D	1-0 W
Sirius	0-2 L	0-1 L
Halmstad	2-0 W	1-2 L
Elfsborg	0-2 L	0-3 L
IFK Goteborg	3-0 W	0-1 L
Malmo FF	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Vasteras SK (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Degerfors

WWLLWLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-4	0-4	6	2	L
19/10	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	1-2	10	3	L
10/10	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-1	5	0	D
20/09	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
14/09	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-2	7	2	L
05/09	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-0	12	3	W
29/08	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
23/08	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-2	0	2	L
16/08	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	3-0	3-0	2	2	W
09/08	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-1	4	4	W

Vasteras SK

WLDWLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-2	10	1	L
18/10	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
09/10	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
19/09	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-0	3	1	W
12/09	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	4-1	3	1	W
05/09	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	8	2	L
29/08	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	3-1	3	4	W
23/08	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
14/08	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-3	2	4	L
10/08	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Degerfors vs Vasteras SK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Vasteras SK win (38%). Probabilities: Degerfors 32%, draw 30%, Vasteras SK 38%.

How many goals are expected in Degerfors vs Vasteras SK?

The model expects 2.39 goals (Degerfors 1.13 · Vasteras SK 1.26), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Degerfors vs Vasteras SK?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.