Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 02/11, 19:00

Prediction: GAIS vs AIK

Team pages: GAIS · AIK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

GAIS2

AIK1.3

1X2

52% 25% 23%

GAIS Draw AIK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

GAIS 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWDLWLLDW

AIK 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLDLLDWD

Head-to-head

GAIS 3–1–2 AIK (6 last)

AIK2-0GAIS
GAIS3-2AIK
AIK1-1GAIS
GAIS0-1AIK
AIK0-1GAIS
GAIS2-0AIK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GAIS 1500 · AIK 1513

	GAIS	Draw	AIK
Our model	53%	24%	24%
Market	52%	25%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours GAIS: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	GAIS	AIK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.1	2 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.8	1.7 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.70

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 15:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 3.98 ★
2	3.90 → 4.10▲	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 7% Pinnacle margin 5.9%

Time*	1	X	2
10:17 +6’	1.80	3.70	3.90
03:36 +15’	1.80	3.70	4.20▲
09:12 +3’	1.83▲	3.60▼	4.20
15:00 +4’	1.80▼	3.70▲	4.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:13 +23’	1.76	3.87	4.12
21:23 +23’	1.80▲	3.89▲	4.05▼
22:34 +14’	1.79▼	3.96▲	4.05
05:12 +10’	1.80▲	3.90▼	4.05
08:15 +3’	1.79▼	3.94▲	4.04▼
14:57 +8’	1.77▼	3.98▲	4.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · GAIS 3–1–2 AIK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	AIK	2-0 HT 0-0	GAIS
14/03/26 Sweden Cup	GAIS	3-2 HT 1-0	AIK
28/09/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	AIK	1-1 HT 0-1	GAIS
31/03/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	GAIS	0-1 HT 0-0	AIK
29/07/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	AIK	0-1 HT 0-1	GAIS
22/07/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	GAIS	2-0 HT 1-0	AIK

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	26	17	4	5	56	34	55
2	Hammarby	26	16	4	6	54	21	52
3	Djurgarden	26	15	4	7	53	24	49
4	BK Hacken	26	12	10	4	47	30	46
5	Elfsborg	26	11	10	5	39	26	43
6	Vasteras SK	26	12	5	9	39	38	41
7	Malmo FF	26	12	4	10	41	34	40
8	AIK	26	10	8	8	42	45	38
9	IFK Goteborg	26	10	8	8	36	45	38
10	GAIS	26	9	7	10	32	26	34
11	Brommapojkarna	26	9	7	10	39	43	34
12	Mjällby AIF	26	6	8	12	30	43	26
13	Kalmar FF	26	6	4	16	23	42	22
14	Degerfors	26	5	5	16	21	44	20
15	Orgryte IS	26	4	7	15	32	58	19
16	Halmstad	26	4	5	17	18	49	17

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	GAIS	AIK
IFK Goteborg	1-1 D	2-2 D
Sirius	0-1 L	2-1 W
Mjällby AIF	3-0 W	1-1 D
Djurgarden	0-2 L	3-1 W
Brommapojkarna	4-0 W	5-6 L
Hammarby	0-2 L	3-2 W
Malmo FF	0-1 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: AIK (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GAIS

LLWDLWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
25/10	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-1	8	8	D
18/10	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	2-4	6	3	L
10/10	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	8	2	L
20/09	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	3-0	0	5	W
14/09	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-2	2	7	L
05/09	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
31/08	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	4-0	7	4	W
23/08	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-2	1	2	L
16/08	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	8	5	L

AIK

WWDLDLLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	2-2	2	3	D
24/10	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	2-1	2-1	1	3	W
17/10	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	2-2	3	0	D
10/10	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	5-6	11	5	L
20/09	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-2	3	1	L
16/09	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	9	4	D
12/09	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-4	5	1	L
07/09	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
30/08	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	3-2	1	5	W
16/08	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	3-0	3-1	1	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GAIS vs AIK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a GAIS win (52%). Probabilities: GAIS 52%, draw 25%, AIK 23%.

How many goals are expected in GAIS vs AIK?

The model expects 3.29 goals (GAIS 2 · AIK 1.3), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in GAIS vs AIK?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.