Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 28/10, 19:00

Prediction: Halmstad vs Malmo FF

Team pages: Halmstad · Malmo FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

Halmstad1.39

Malmo FF1.3

1X2

38% 28% 34%

Halmstad Draw Malmo FF

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Halmstad 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLDWLLWLLW

Malmo FF 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWDWLWLD

Head-to-head

Halmstad 0–6 Malmo FF (6 last)

Malmo FF5-2Halmstad
Malmo FF2-1Halmstad
Halmstad0-4Malmo FF
Malmo FF3-0Halmstad
Halmstad0-1Malmo FF
Malmo FF5-1Halmstad

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malmo FF (rating 1486 vs 1527).
H2H favours Malmo FF: 6-0-0.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Halmstad	Malmo FF
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.5	0.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.6	0.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5	2.6 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	4.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.81

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:01

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.72 → 4.58▼	Pinn 4.58
X	4.15 → 4.12▼	Pinn 4.12
2	1.64 → 1.67▲	Pinn 1.67

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
20:16 +130’	4.72	4.15	1.64
15:57 +244’	4.58▼	4.12▼	1.67▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Halmstad 0–0–6 Malmo FF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	Malmo FF	5-2 HT 2-2	Halmstad
08/03/26 Sweden Cup	Malmo FF	2-1 HT 2-1	Halmstad
16/08/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Halmstad	0-4 HT 0-3	Malmo FF
18/05/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Malmo FF	3-0 HT 2-0	Halmstad
10/08/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Halmstad	0-1 HT 0-1	Malmo FF
07/07/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Malmo FF	5-1 HT 2-1	Halmstad

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	25	17	4	4	56	32	55
2	Djurgarden	25	15	3	7	52	23	48
3	Hammarby	24	14	4	6	50	21	46
4	BK Hacken	25	12	9	4	47	30	45
5	Elfsborg	25	11	9	5	37	24	42
6	Vasteras SK	25	11	5	9	36	38	38
7	Malmo FF	25	11	4	10	38	34	37
8	AIK	25	10	7	8	40	43	37
9	IFK Goteborg	24	10	6	8	34	43	36
10	Brommapojkarna	25	9	6	10	39	43	33
11	GAIS	24	8	6	10	30	25	30
12	Mjällby AIF	24	5	8	11	28	40	23
13	Kalmar FF	25	6	4	15	23	41	22
14	Degerfors	25	5	5	15	21	41	20
15	Orgryte IS	25	4	7	14	31	56	19
16	Halmstad	25	4	5	16	18	46	17

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Halmstad	Malmo FF
Vasteras SK	2-1 W	0-2 L
Elfsborg	0-4 L	0-0 D
AIK	2-1 W	0-0 D
Degerfors	0-2 L	1-2 L
Kalmar FF	1-0 W	1-0 W
Orgryte IS	1-1 D	4-1 W
BK Hacken	0-1 L	0-1 L
GAIS	0-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Malmo FF (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Halmstad

LLDWLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	2-1	1	1	W
18/10	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
12/10	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-4	4	1	L
20/09	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-1	4	1	W
12/09	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-2	9	4	L
05/09	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
29/08	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
22/08	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	10	2	D
17/08	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-1	1	5	L
09/08	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-2	7	1	L

Malmo FF

LWLWDWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
18/10	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	13	5	L
12/10	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
19/09	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-2	7	1	L
13/09	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	4-1	5	4	W
07/09	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
31/08	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
24/08	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-3	3	6	L
16/08	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
09/08	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-2	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Halmstad vs Malmo FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Halmstad win (38%). Probabilities: Halmstad 38%, draw 28%, Malmo FF 34%.

How many goals are expected in Halmstad vs Malmo FF?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Halmstad 1.39 · Malmo FF 1.3), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Halmstad vs Malmo FF?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.