Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 19/07, 16:30

Prediction: Elfsborg vs Sirius

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

Elfsborg1.22

Sirius1.78

1X2

25% 25% 50%

Elfsborg Draw Sirius

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Elfsborg 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

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Sirius 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Elfsborg 3–3 Sirius (6 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sirius (rating 1466 vs 1606).
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Elfsborg	Sirius
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.1	2.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	1.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	70/0/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.7 / 3.8	3.8 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Elfsborg 3–0–3 Sirius

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Sweden Cup	Elfsborg	1-2 HT 0-1	Sirius
26/10/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Sirius	4-0 HT 2-0	Elfsborg
23/04/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Elfsborg	4-3 HT 2-1	Sirius
06/10/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Sirius	4-1 HT 1-1	Elfsborg
29/04/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Elfsborg	2-0 HT 1-0	Sirius
06/08/23 Sweden Allsvenskan	Elfsborg	1-0 HT 0-0	Sirius

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	11	9	2	0	31	14	29
2	Hammarby	12	6	2	4	26	14	20
3	BK Hacken	12	5	5	2	25	22	20
4	Elfsborg	12	4	6	2	17	13	18
5	AIK	12	5	3	4	16	18	18
6	Djurgarden	10	5	1	4	23	15	16
7	GAIS	12	4	4	4	17	12	16
8	Mjällby AIF	12	4	4	4	19	17	16
9	Malmo FF	11	5	1	5	21	20	16
10	Brommapojkarna	11	4	4	3	16	17	16
11	Vasteras SK	11	4	3	4	20	23	15
12	Kalmar FF	11	4	1	6	14	15	13
13	Degerfors	11	2	4	5	12	17	10
14	IFK Goteborg	11	2	4	5	14	24	10
15	Orgryte IS	12	2	3	7	14	31	9
16	Halmstad	11	1	3	7	10	23	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Elfsborg	Sirius
GAIS	0-1 L	2-1 W
Orgryte IS	2-2 D	2-0 W
BK Hacken	1-1 D	2-2 D
Mjällby AIF	1-1 D	4-4 D
Brommapojkarna	2-0 W	2-1 W
AIK	1-1 D	3-0 W
Kalmar FF	1-2 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 2 L	5 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sirius (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Elfsborg

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
05/07	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-2	3	1	L
28/06	Fredrikstad Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
29/05	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-2	2	3	D
25/05	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-1	1	4	D
21/05	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
16/05	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-1	8	1	D
08/05	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
03/05	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	4	1	D
27/04	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-2	3	7	L

Sirius

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	2-1	7	1	W
03/07	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	4-4	9	1	D
26/06	Djurgarden Club Friendly List	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
30/05	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	3-0	3	7	W
24/05	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	2-1	2-1	7	4	W
18/05	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	2-1	3-2	3	5	W
11/05	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
02/05	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	3-2	6	4	W
27/04	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	2-2	11	1	D
23/04	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	3-2	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Elfsborg vs Sirius?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sirius win (50%). Probabilities: Elfsborg 25%, draw 25%, Sirius 50%.

How many goals are expected in Elfsborg vs Sirius?

The model expects 3 goals (Elfsborg 1.22 · Sirius 1.78), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Elfsborg vs Sirius?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.