Prediction: Djurgarden vs AIK
Team pages: Djurgarden · AIK
- AIK2-4Djurgarden
- AIK0-0Djurgarden
- Djurgarden1-1AIK
- Djurgarden0-2AIK
- AIK2-0Djurgarden
- AIK1-1Djurgarden
| Djurgarden | Draw | AIK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 21% | 16% |
| Market | 63% | 21% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Djurgarden (rating 1569 vs 1512).
- H2H favours AIK: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Djurgarden | AIK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 1 | 1.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 7.6 | 1.7 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Djurgarden 1–3–2 AIK
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Sweden Allsvenskan | AIK | 2-4 HT 1-3 | Djurgarden |
| 10/08/25 Sweden Allsvenskan | AIK | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Djurgarden |
| 04/05/25 Sweden Allsvenskan | Djurgarden | 1-1 HT 1-0 | AIK |
| 18/08/24 Sweden Allsvenskan | Djurgarden | 0-2 HT 0-1 | AIK |
| 21/04/24 Sweden Allsvenskan | AIK | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Djurgarden |
| 17/03/24 Sweden Cup | AIK | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Djurgarden |
Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 42 | 17 | 41 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 15 | 30 |
| 3 | Djurgarden | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 33 | 15 | 26 |
| 4 | BK Hacken | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 28 | 26 | 25 |
| 5 | AIK | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 24 | 25 |
| 6 | Elfsborg | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 24 |
| 7 | GAIS | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 23 |
| 8 | Malmo FF | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 27 | 23 |
| 9 | Vasteras SK | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 29 | 22 |
| 10 | IFK Goteborg | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 35 | 19 |
| 11 | Kalmar FF | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 24 | 18 |
| 12 | Mjällby AIF | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 17 |
| 13 | Brommapojkarna | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | 17 |
| 14 | Degerfors | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | 13 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 37 | 13 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 33 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Djurgarden | AIK |
|---|---|---|
| Vasteras SK | 6-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Orgryte IS | 0-0 D | 4-3 W |
| BK Hacken | 4-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Sirius | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| IFK Goteborg | 6-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Djurgarden (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Djurgarden
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan |
3-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 20/07 | Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 13/07 | Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 06/07 | BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 26/06 | Sirius Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/05 | Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/05 | Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | AIK Sweden Allsvenskan |
3-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
3-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
AIK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-2 | 4-3 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 27/07 | BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | IFK Vasteras FK Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Vasteras SK Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 22/06 | Kalmar FF Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-2 | 0-3 | 9 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Djurgarden vs AIK?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Djurgarden win (63%). Probabilities: Djurgarden 63%, draw 21%, AIK 16%.
How many goals are expected in Djurgarden vs AIK?
The model expects 3.38 goals (Djurgarden 2.27 · AIK 1.1), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Djurgarden vs AIK?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.