Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 23/08, 16:30

Prediction: Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors

Team pages: Brommapojkarna · Degerfors

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

Brommapojkarna1.62

Degerfors1.14

1X2

47% 27% 26%

Brommapojkarna Draw Degerfors

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Brommapojkarna 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDLDLLDLDW

Degerfors 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LDWLLLLLWW

Head-to-head

Brommapojkarna 1–1–4 Degerfors (6 last)

Degerfors2-2Brommapojkarna
Brommapojkarna1-3Degerfors
Degerfors0-3Brommapojkarna
Degerfors2-0Brommapojkarna
Brommapojkarna1-2Degerfors
Degerfors2-1Brommapojkarna

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brommapojkarna 1469 · Degerfors 1489

	Brommapojkarna	Draw	Degerfors
Our model	47%	27%	26%
Market	47%	27%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Degerfors: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brommapojkarna	Degerfors
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.6	1.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.9	2.4 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.40

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 2.05 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.56
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.5% Pinnacle margin 5.9%

Time*	1	X	2
01:30 +1’	1.95	3.40	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:29 +1’	2.05	3.56	3.44

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brommapojkarna 1–1–4 Degerfors

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	Degerfors	2-2 HT 0-1	Brommapojkarna
09/11/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Brommapojkarna	1-3 HT 0-1	Degerfors
29/06/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Degerfors	0-3 HT 0-1	Brommapojkarna
29/07/23 Sweden Allsvenskan	Degerfors	2-0 HT 0-0	Brommapojkarna
08/07/23 Sweden Allsvenskan	Brommapojkarna	1-2 HT 1-0	Degerfors
05/10/19 Sweden Superettan	Degerfors	2-1 HT 1-0	Brommapojkarna

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	17	13	3	1	47	23	42
2	Hammarby	17	10	3	4	40	15	33
3	AIK	17	8	4	5	25	25	28
4	Elfsborg	17	7	6	4	24	18	27
5	Djurgarden	16	8	2	6	34	19	26
6	Malmo FF	17	8	2	7	32	27	26
7	BK Hacken	16	6	7	3	28	26	25
8	Vasteras SK	17	7	4	6	25	32	25
9	GAIS	17	6	5	6	21	16	23
10	Brommapojkarna	17	5	6	6	25	27	21
11	Mjällby AIF	16	5	5	6	24	23	20
12	IFK Goteborg	17	5	4	8	22	38	19
13	Kalmar FF	17	5	3	9	21	28	18
14	Degerfors	17	4	4	9	17	27	16
15	Orgryte IS	17	3	4	10	21	40	13
16	Halmstad	16	1	4	11	11	33	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brommapojkarna	Degerfors
Malmo FF	1-2 L	2-1 W
Hammarby	1-1 D	0-4 L
IFK Goteborg	1-2 L	3-0 W
Kalmar FF	0-2 L	1-2 L
Djurgarden	2-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Degerfors (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Brommapojkarna

WDLDLLDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	3-1	8	3	W
10/08	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	2-2	2-2	4	4	D
02/08	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-2	4	7	L
26/07	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
17/07	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-2	5	3	L
12/07	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	1-2	5	1	L
06/07	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
27/06	Kalmar FF Club Friendly List	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
31/05	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-2	5	1	D
22/05	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	2-1	8	2	W

Degerfors

LDWLLLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	3-0	3-0	2	2	W
09/08	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
02/08	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
25/07	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
19/07	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-4	2	1	L
12/07	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-2	6	9	L
04/07	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
26/06	Lillestrom Club Friendly List	1-2	3-2	2	1	W
31/05	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	2-2	3	1	D
23/05	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-2	8	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brommapojkarna win (47%). Probabilities: Brommapojkarna 47%, draw 27%, Degerfors 26%.

How many goals are expected in Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors?

The model expects 2.77 goals (Brommapojkarna 1.62 · Degerfors 1.14), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.