Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 24/08, 19:00
Prediction: Malmo FF vs Djurgarden
Team pages: Malmo FF · Djurgarden
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
Malmo FF1.5
Djurgarden1.5
1X2
Malmo FF
Draw
Djurgarden
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Malmo FF
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Djurgarden
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Malmo FF
4–1–1
Djurgarden
(6 last)
- Djurgarden0-1Malmo FF
- Malmo FF0-1Djurgarden
- Djurgarden0-1Malmo FF
- Malmo FF4-0Djurgarden
- Malmo FF1-1Djurgarden
- Djurgarden0-1Malmo FF
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Malmo FF 1516 · Djurgarden 1517
| Malmo FF | Draw | Djurgarden | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 27% | 37% |
| Market | 37% | 26% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.99 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Malmo FF: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Malmo FF | Djurgarden | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.6 | 2.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.1 | 3.4 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Malmo FF 4–1–1 Djurgarden
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Sweden Allsvenskan | Djurgarden | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Malmo FF |
| 20/09/25 Sweden Allsvenskan | Malmo FF | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Djurgarden |
| 29/03/25 Sweden Allsvenskan | Djurgarden | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Malmo FF |
| 01/09/24 Sweden Allsvenskan | Malmo FF | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Djurgarden |
| 01/05/24 Sweden Cup | Malmo FF | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Djurgarden |
| 25/04/24 Sweden Allsvenskan | Djurgarden | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Malmo FF |
Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 26 | 42 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 15 | 33 |
| 3 | BK Hacken | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 31 |
| 4 | AIK | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 25 | 28 |
| 5 | Elfsborg | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 27 |
| 6 | Djurgarden | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 34 | 19 | 26 |
| 7 | Malmo FF | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 26 |
| 8 | Vasteras SK | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 32 | 25 |
| 9 | GAIS | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 23 |
| 10 | Brommapojkarna | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 27 | 21 |
| 11 | Mjällby AIF | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 20 |
| 12 | IFK Goteborg | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 38 | 19 |
| 13 | Kalmar FF | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 18 |
| 14 | Degerfors | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 27 | 16 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 41 | 14 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 8 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Malmo FF | Djurgarden |
|---|---|---|
| Degerfors | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Brommapojkarna | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Halmstad | 5-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Vasteras SK | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Malmo FF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 26/07 | Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 20/07 | Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 12/07 | IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-2 | 5-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
Djurgarden
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | AIK Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 10/08 | Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 03/08 | Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan |
3-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 20/07 | Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 13/07 | Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 06/07 | BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/05 | Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | AIK Sweden Allsvenskan |
3-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Malmo FF vs Djurgarden?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Malmo FF win (37%). Probabilities: Malmo FF 37%, draw 26%, Djurgarden 37%.
How many goals are expected in Malmo FF vs Djurgarden?
The model expects 2.99 goals (Malmo FF 1.5 · Djurgarden 1.5), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Malmo FF vs Djurgarden?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.